Economics 2021 Paper I 50 marks 150 words Compulsory Explain

Paper I — Q5

(a) Explain Rosenstein-Rodan's view that economic underdevelopment is the outcome of a massive coordination failure. (10…

(a)

Answer the following questions in about 150 words each: Explain Rosenstein-Rodan's view that economic underdevelopment is the outcome of a massive coordination failure. 10 marks

(b)

Explain how gender sensitive human development index can be constructed. 10 marks

(c)

Show that the economic integration is the pre-requisite to establish covered interest rate parity. 10 marks

(d)

Under what condition Real Exchange Rate is synonymous to 'terms of trade' ? Discuss. 10 marks

(e)

Do you agree whether sustainable use of energy ensures economic sustainability ? Explain. 10 marks

हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
(a)

निम्नलिखित प्रत्येक प्रश्न का उत्तर लगभग 150 शब्दों में दीजिए । आर्थिक-अविकास एक विशाल समन्वय की असफलता का परिणाम है । रोजेनस्टीन-रोडां के इस दृष्टिकोण की व्याख्या कीजिए । (10 अंक)

(b)

लिंग संवेदनशील मानव विकास सूचकांक किस प्रकार निर्मित किया जा सकता है, व्याख्या कीजिए । (10 अंक)

(c)

दर्शाइए कि आच्छादित ब्याज दर समानता स्थापित करने के लिये आर्थिक एकीकरण एक पूर्वापेक्षा है । (10 अंक)

(d)

वास्तविक विनिमय दर किस दशा में 'व्यापार की शर्त' की पर्याय होती है ? चर्चा कीजिए । (10 अंक)

(e)

क्या आप इस से सहमत हैं कि ऊर्जा का धारणीय उपयोग आर्थिक धारणीयता को सुनिश्चित करता है ? व्याख्या कीजिए । (10 अंक)

Q5 of the 2021 UPSC Mains Economics Paper I, as printed
The question as printed in the 2021 Economics paper

Model answer

Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the 150-word length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.

(a) Rosenstein-Rodan's coordination failure. In his 1943 paper, Rosenstein-Rodan argued that underdevelopment is a low-level equilibrium in which investments that would pay together do not pay singly. He cited three indivisibilities: in the production function (lumpy social overhead capital such as power and transport), in demand (complementarity of markets) and in the supply of savings (a minimum effort is needed to raise the saving rate). The demand indivisibility is central: a lone shoe factory cannot sell its output because its own workers' wages are too small to buy it, but a simultaneous set of industries, each employing workers who buy one another's products, creates a market for all. Private investors do not internalise these pecuniary externalities, so each waits, and private profit falls short of the social return. A coordinated, state-planned "big push" of investment is therefore needed to move the economy to a high-level equilibrium. Murphy, Shleifer and Vishny (1989) later formalised this as multiple equilibria.

(b) Gender-sensitive HDI. The Gender Development Index (GDI) is built by computing the HDI separately for women and men and taking their ratio, GDI = HDI_F/HDI_M. Each index uses the three HDI dimensions with gender-disaggregated data: health, life expectancy at birth (with separate goalposts for women and men to allow for women's biological advantage); education, expected years of schooling and mean years of schooling of adults; and standard of living, GNI per capita estimated separately for women and men from their shares of earned income, using wage ratios and shares of the economically active population. Each dimension index is computed against fixed goalposts, and the geometric mean of the three gives HDI_F and HDI_M. A GDI of 1 means parity. The pre-2010 GDI instead penalised gaps through an inequality-aversion parameter, ε = 2. The related Gender Inequality Index (GII) measures reproductive health, empowerment and labour-market participation, and replaced the earlier Gender Empowerment Measure.

(c) Economic integration and covered interest parity. CIRP states that F/S = (1 + i_d)/(1 + i_f), where S and F are the spot and forward rates in domestic currency per unit of foreign currency; the forward premium on the foreign currency approximately equals the interest differential. It holds through covered arbitrage: if F/S < (1 + i_d)/(1 + i_f), an investor borrows abroad, buys domestic currency spot (S falls), invests at i_d and sells domestic currency forward (F rises), earning a riskless profit until the gap closes. This process needs integrated markets: free capital mobility without controls, no transaction costs, taxes or restrictions on spot and forward trading, deep forward markets in both currencies, and assets comparable in risk and maturity, with negligible default or political risk. Where economies are not integrated, as in India before the 1990s capital-account liberalisation, arbitrage is blocked and the forward rate can depart from the parity value. Hence integration is a prerequisite for CIRP.

(d) Real exchange rate and terms of trade. The real exchange rate is RER = E·P_f/P_d, the price of foreign goods in terms of domestic goods, where E is domestic currency per unit of foreign currency. The terms of trade are TOT = P_x/P_m. In general they differ, because the RER involves whole price levels, including non-tradables, while the TOT involves only traded goods. They coincide, as inverses, when the world has two countries and two goods; the home country produces only what it exports (P_d = P_x) and the foreign country produces only what the home country imports (E·P_f = P_m); and there are no non-tradables, trade barriers or transport costs, so the law of one price holds. Then RER = P_m/P_x = 1/TOT: a deterioration in the TOT is a real depreciation. If the RER is instead defined as the home price over the foreign price, RER = TOT.

(e) Sustainable energy and economic sustainability. Partly. Sustainable use of energy is necessary but not sufficient for economic sustainability. Energy is a vital input; shifting to renewables and efficiency decouples growth from emissions and reduces exposure to fossil-fuel import shocks. India's Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) scheme has raised industrial energy efficiency, and the 500 GW non-fossil capacity target for 2030 reflects this logic. But energy sustainability alone cannot guarantee economic sustainability. The Jevons paradox shows that efficiency gains can cut the cost of energy services and raise total consumption. A green transition also involves high capital costs, grid-balancing costs, stranded fossil assets and dependence on critical-mineral supply chains. Economic sustainability needs the preservation of wealth across natural, human, physical and fiscal capital, so fiscal solvency, human-capital formation and employment generation are also required.

How this answer will be evaluated

Framework: Rosenstein-Rodan Big Push

What earns full marks: Clear definitions, accurate models, and well-supported arguments.

Evaluation rubric

Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.

  1. (a) Define underdevelopment as a coordination failure and explain the Big Push theory. 10 marks · 150 words

    explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close

    Must cover

    • Define coordination failure in underdeveloped economies
    • Explain the Big Push theory
    • Mention interdependence of industries
    • Discuss the role of simultaneous investment

    Loses marks

    • Failing to define coordination failure
    • Not explaining the interdependence of industries
    • Ignoring the role of simultaneous investment

    Earns more

    • Mention Rosenstein-Rodan by name
    • Provide a simple diagram of the Big Push
    • Discuss the role of government in coordination
    • Mention the concept of indivisibilities

    Extra mark

    • Reference to a specific developing country example
    • Mention the concept of 'critical minimum effort'
  2. (b) Explain the construction of a gender-sensitive Human Development Index. 10 marks · 150 words

    explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close

    Must cover

    • Define the Human Development Index (HDI)
    • Explain the components of HDI
    • Describe how gender sensitivity is incorporated
    • Contrast with the Gender Inequality Index (GII): health, empowerment, labour-market participation

    Loses marks

    • Failing to define HDI
    • Not explaining the components of HDI
    • Ignoring the role of gender sensitivity

    Earns more

    • Formula GDI = HDI_F / HDI_M
    • Explain the calculation of GII
    • Mention the role of UNDP
    • Discuss the limitations of HDI

    Extra mark

    • Reference to a specific country's HDI and GII
    • Mention the concept of 'gender parity'
  3. (c) Show that economic integration is a prerequisite for covered interest rate parity. 10 marks · 150 words

    derive— given → assumptions → stepwise derivation → result → check

    Must cover

    • Define covered interest rate parity (CIP)
    • Explain the role of economic integration
    • Mention the role of capital mobility
    • Covered arbitrage steps and the parity condition F/S = (1 + i_d)/(1 + i_f)

    Loses marks

    • Failing to define CIP
    • Not explaining the role of economic integration
    • Ignoring the role of capital mobility

    Earns more

    • Provide a formula for CIP
    • Explain the role of arbitrage
    • Mention the role of financial markets
    • Discuss the role of government policy

    Extra mark

    • Reference to a specific country's experience with CIP
    • Mention the concept of 'interest rate differentials'
  4. (d) Discuss the condition under which Real Exchange Rate is synonymous to 'terms of trade'. 10 marks · 150 words

    discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close

    Must cover

    • Define Real Exchange Rate (RER)
    • Define Terms of Trade (ToT)
    • Condition: home produces only exportables, foreign only importables, no non-tradables (RER = 1/TOT)
    • Mention the role of price levels

    Loses marks

    • Failing to define RER
    • Not defining ToT
    • Ignoring the condition for RER = ToT

    Earns more

    • Provide a formula for RER
    • Provide a formula for ToT
    • Explain the role of inflation
    • Discuss the role of exchange rate policy

    Extra mark

    • Reference to a specific country's experience with RER and ToT
    • Mention the concept of 'real appreciation'
  5. (e) Comment on whether sustainable use of energy ensures economic sustainability. 10 marks · 150 words

    comment— context → arguments both sides → judgment → close

    Must cover

    • Define sustainable use of energy
    • Define economic sustainability
    • Explain the link between the two
    • Mention the role of renewable energy

    Loses marks

    • Failing to define sustainable use of energy
    • Not defining economic sustainability
    • Ignoring the link between the two

    Earns more

    • Provide examples of sustainable energy use
    • Explain the role of government policy
    • Mention the role of technology
    • Discuss the role of consumer behavior

    Extra mark

    • Reference to a specific country's experience with sustainable energy
    • Mention the concept of 'green economy'
What "Explain" is asking you to do

Make the working of something clear — what sets it off, what follows from what, and what it produces. Explain is the Commission's mechanism word: it dominates the technical papers and the “explain why” stems, where the marks sit in the causal chain and not in the label.

Structure that answers it

State what it is → the initiating condition → the chain of cause, step by step → an instance where it plays out → what the chain produces

Where marks are lost

Describing what something looks like instead of why it works that way. Naming the stages without linking them reads as description too.

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