Economics 2024 Paper I 50 marks 150 words Compulsory Critically examine

Paper I — Q5

(a) Critically examine 'per capita' GDP as a crude indicator of development. (10 marks) (b) Explain managed floating and…

Answer the following questions in about 150 words each:

(a)

Critically examine 'per capita' GDP as a crude indicator of development. 10 marks

(b)

Explain managed floating and sterilized interventions for exchange rate. 10 marks

(c)

Discuss how carbon trading is helpful in reducing environmental degradation. 10 marks

(d)

"Higher tariffs do not increase employment, they just redistribute the unemployed." Do you agree with the statement? Explain. 10 marks

(e)

Explain how the equilibrium terms of trade are determined by using offer curves of the trading partners. 10 marks

हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें

निम्नलिखित प्रत्येक प्रश्न का उत्तर लगभग 150 शब्दों में दीजिए :

(क) विकास के सन्दर्भ में 'प्रति व्यक्ति' जी० डी० पी० एक अपरिष्कृत सूचक है। आलोचनात्मक व्याख्या कीजिए। (10 अंक)

(ख) विनिमय दर के प्रबन्धित चल तथा निष्फल हस्तक्षेपों को समझाइए। (10 अंक)

(ग) कार्बन व्यापार किस प्रकार पर्यावरण अवनयन को कम करने में सहायक होता है? विवेचना कीजिए। (10 अंक)

(घ) "उच्च प्रशुल्क रोजगार में वृद्धि न करके मात्र बेरोजगारों का पुनर्वितरण करते हैं।" क्या आप इस कथन से सहमत हैं? समझाइए। (10 अंक)

(ङ) समझाइए कि किस प्रकार व्यापार के भागीदारों के लिए अर्पण वक्रों की सहायता से सन्तुलित व्यापार की शर्तें तय होती हैं। (10 अंक)

Q5 of the 2024 UPSC Mains Economics Paper I, as printed
The question as printed in the 2024 Economics paper

Model answer

Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the 150-word length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.

(a) Per capita GDP Per capita GDP is a useful, comparable measure of average income and long-run growth, but it is a crude development indicator because it compresses welfare into one number. It ignores income distribution: two countries with same per capita GDP can have very different Gini coefficients, and growth may accrue to a small elite. It also excludes non-market activities such as unpaid care, subsistence production and household labour, and it does not subtract environmental externalities, so resource depletion and pollution can raise GDP while lowering well-being. It further misses human development dimensions captured by HDI, such as health, education and capability. It also overlooks social exclusion and institutional quality. India’s GDP rank has often been higher than its HDI rank, showing that income growth alone does not guarantee development; Bhutan’s GNH highlights alternative welfare metrics. Thus per capita GDP is a necessary but insufficient signal of development.

(b) Managed floating and sterilized intervention Managed floating is a hybrid exchange-rate regime in which the market determines the rate, but the central bank intervenes within a band or to prevent excessive volatility. In unsterilized intervention, buying or selling foreign exchange changes the monetary base: buying currency raises domestic money supply, while selling reduces it. Sterilized intervention offsets this monetary effect using open-market operations: if the central bank buys foreign currency and injects rupees, it sells government securities to absorb liquidity; if it sells foreign currency and drains rupees, it buys securities to restore money supply. In India, the Reserve Bank of India has used foreign-exchange swaps, repo operations and open-market operations to smooth rupee movements while protecting the monetary stance and price stability. This is especially relevant when capital flows are volatile. Sterilization preserves monetary policy independence but can be costly, limited by reserves and credibility, and may fail if expectations dominate.

(c) Carbon trading Carbon trading reduces environmental degradation by putting a price on emissions and allowing firms to meet a cap at lowest cost. Under cap-and-trade, a regulator sets an aggregate emissions ceiling and distributes or auctions allowances; firms that cut emissions cheaply can sell surplus allowances to higher-cost emitters. This creates carbon price discovery and incentives for abatement, energy efficiency and low-carbon investment. Theoretically, it applies the Coase theorem: when property rights are well defined and transaction costs are low, bargaining leads to efficient allocation of pollution rights. In reality, transaction costs are non-zero, so market design, monitoring and enforcement matter. A binding cap is essential; a loose cap merely redistributes allowances and compliance costs. India's Perform, Achieve and Trade scheme for energy efficiency and the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme under the Energy Conservation (Amendment) Act, 2022 illustrate this logic. The Indian scheme is an intensity-based baseline-and-credit system: emission-intensity targets were notified for aluminium, cement, chlor-alkali and pulp and paper in 2025 and for refining, petrochemicals and textiles in 2026, and entities that beat their targets earn tradable carbon credit certificates. The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, in its definitive phase from 2026, adds an external reason for Indian exporters to price carbon.

(d) Tariffs and employment The statement is broadly correct under full-employment assumptions, but not universally. Tariffs raise the price of imported goods, making domestic import-competing sectors more profitable. In the Specific Factors Model, labour moves from export or unprotected sectors to the protected sector, raising its wage and employment, while other sectors lose workers; total employment need not rise if the economy is at full capacity. The Stolper-Samuelson theorem is relevant to factor rewards, not aggregate jobs: protection can raise the return to the factor used intensively in the protected sector and lower returns elsewhere. Tariffs may increase aggregate employment only under Keynesian unemployment, fixed exchange rates and no retaliation, by stimulating domestic demand; with retaliation, exchange-rate effects and misallocation, they can reduce welfare, and when all countries raise tariffs (as with the Smoot–Hawley tariff of 1930), world trade and employment fall together. Evidence on the 2018 US steel and aluminium tariffs found small job gains in metal production outweighed by job losses in steel-using manufacturing, owing to higher input costs and foreign retaliation. So the statement is largely true for the economy as a whole, though a tariff can raise employment in a particular sector or, briefly, during a demand slump.

(e) Offer curves and terms of trade Offer curves, or reciprocal demand curves, show the quantities of one good a country is willing to export in exchange for imports of another good. Each curve traces exports offered against imports demanded at different terms of trade. The equilibrium terms of trade are determined where the two offer curves intersect: at that point, the quantity of goods A is willing to export equals the quantity B is willing to import, and vice versa. This is Mill’s equation of international demand, where the value of exports equals the value of imports. If a country’s offer curve shifts outward due to growth, technical change or rising demand for foreign goods, the equilibrium terms of trade move against that country, more sharply the less elastic the partner's offer curve is. Thus offer curves explain how relative demand, supply and growth determine the international price ratio. The equilibrium terms of trade always lie between the two countries' autarky price ratios.

Diagram: Offer curves of two countries and equilibrium terms of trade

How this answer will be evaluated

Framework: UPSC Economics Paper I (International Economics & Development)

What earns full marks: Precise definitions, correct diagrams, balanced arguments, specific examples.

Evaluation rubric

Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.

  1. (a) Critically examine per capita GDP as a crude indicator of development. 10 marks · 150 words

    critique— the claim → its strengths → its weaknesses → your judgment

    Must cover

    • Merits: simple, comparable, correlates with many welfare indicators; PPP adjustment
    • Ignores distribution (average hides inequality)
    • Ignores non-market work, informal output, leisure and environmental depletion/externalities
    • Misses health, education, freedoms and capabilities (Sen, HDI, MPI); examples of divergence between GDP and HDI rank

    Loses marks

    • Only criticism without acknowledging usefulness
    • Confusing GDP with GNI without comment

    Earns more

    • Alternatives: HDI, MPI, green GDP, GNH, SDG index
    • Indian example

    Extra mark

    • Stiglitz–Sen–Fitoussi Commission (2009)
  2. (b) Explain managed floating and sterilised intervention in the exchange market. 10 marks · 150 words

    explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close

    Must cover

    • Managed float: market-determined rate with central bank intervention to curb volatility, no fixed target
    • Unsterilised intervention changes reserve money: buying foreign currency adds domestic liquidity, selling drains it
    • Sterilised intervention offsets the liquidity effect via OMOs, MSS bonds, or FX swaps
    • RBI practice and limits: cost of sterilisation, finite reserves, impossible trinity

    Loses marks

    • Confusing sterilisation with devaluation
    • No link to money supply

    Earns more

    • Examples of RBI buy/sell-swap operations
    • Reserve accumulation as insurance

    Extra mark

    • Portfolio-balance vs signalling channels of sterilised intervention
  3. (c) Discuss how carbon trading helps reduce environmental degradation. 10 marks · 150 words

    discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close

    Must cover

    • Emissions as an externality; carbon trading puts a price on it
    • Cap-and-trade (EU ETS) vs baseline-and-credit/intensity schemes; allowances traded so abatement happens where it is cheapest
    • Coase logic and cost-effectiveness compared with command-and-control; incentive for clean technology
    • Indian context: PAT scheme, Carbon Credit Trading Scheme under the Energy Conservation (Amendment) Act, 2022 with intensity targets for sectors; limits (loose caps, leakage, MRV, price volatility)

    Loses marks

    • Treating offsets as automatically reducing global emissions
    • No mechanism explained

    Earns more

    • Article 6 of the Paris Agreement
    • EU CBAM and its effect on Indian exporters

    Extra mark

    • Comparison with carbon tax (price vs quantity certainty)
  4. (d) Evaluate the claim that higher tariffs do not raise employment but only redistribute the unemployed. 10 marks · 150 words

    comment— context → arguments both sides → judgment → close

    Must cover

    • Tariff raises employment in protected import-competing sectors
    • Offsetting losses: higher input costs for user industries, lower exports through retaliation and exchange-rate appreciation, lower real incomes
    • Aggregate effect depends on macro conditions: at full employment only reallocation; with Keynesian unemployment a short-run rise possible but beggar-thy-neighbour
    • Evidence: e.g., US steel tariffs (2018) – gains in steel offset by losses in steel-using industries; balanced conclusion

    Loses marks

    • One-sided agreement or disagreement without reasoning
    • Ignoring retaliation

    Earns more

    • Specific factors model / Stolper–Samuelson for distribution
    • Infant-industry exception

    Extra mark

    • Smoot–Hawley and retaliation in the 1930s
  5. (e) Explain how equilibrium terms of trade are determined using offer curves. 10 marks · 150 words

    explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close

    Must cover

    • Offer curve: quantity of exports a country will give for imports at each terms of trade (reciprocal demand, Marshall–Edgeworth)
    • Shape: each curve starts along the autarky price ray and bends toward the import-good axis
    • Equilibrium where the two offer curves intersect; the ray through E gives the terms of trade; Mill's equation of reciprocal demand
    • Diagram and comparative statics: shift in one country's offer curve and the role of elasticity

    Loses marks

    • No diagram
    • Confusing offer curves with demand curves

    Earns more

    • Stability and multiple equilibria
    • Effect of a tariff on the offer curve

    Extra mark

    • Link to Mill's law of reciprocal demand and the range between autarky prices
What "Critically examine" is asking you to do

Test the proposition the question puts to you and return a finding on how far it holds. Examine stems carry a claim, or ask whether something has happened, and expect evidence weighed both ways before the extent is stated — often with remedial measures attached. “Critically” is not a section added at the end: name the yardstick you are judging by — the evidence, the stated objective, a constitutional principle, a rival explanation — and let a verdict close each part of the body. Where the question quotes a claim, that verdict must land on the claim itself, accepted, qualified or rejected, and not on the theme in general.

Structure that answers it

Restate the claim as the question frames it → evidence that supports it → evidence that undercuts it → the conditions under which it holds → verdict on how far it stands

Where marks are lost

Merits in one paragraph, demerits in the next, and a conclusion calling for a balanced and holistic approach. That is a survey with the judgement left out and it holds the answer in the middle band. The opposite error is reading “critically” as permission to attack — and with the odd pairings, critically describe or critically explain, the exposition still carries most of the marks, the judgement being a layer on it rather than a substitute for it.

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