Paper II — Q8
(a) What are the external determinants of the Foreign Policy of a State ? 20 (b) Discuss the significance of "West Asia Quad" in…
What are the external determinants of the Foreign Policy of a State ? 20 marks
Discuss the significance of "West Asia Quad" in the light of India's 'Look West' policy. 15 marks
Discuss the major drivers of India's interests in Africa. 15 marks
हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
किसी राज्य की विदेश नीति के बाह्य निर्धारक-तत्व क्या हैं ? 20 अंक
भारत की 'लुक वेस्ट' नीति के आलोक में "पश्चिम एशिया क्वाड" के महत्व पर चर्चा कीजिए । 15
अफ्रीका में भारत के हितों के प्रमुख कारकों की विवेचना कीजिए । 15
Model answer
Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the expected length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.
Foreign policy operates at the intersection of a state's internal capabilities and the structural realities of the international system.
(a) External Determinants of Foreign Policy
External determinants comprise the structural, institutional, and geopolitical factors outside a state’s borders that constrain or enable its foreign policy choices. Theoretically, Structural Realism argues that the anarchic international system and the global distribution of power are the primary drivers of state behavior, compelling states to pursue balance-of-power strategies. Conversely, Liberal Institutionalism posits that international regimes, economic interdependence, and international law shape state preferences by lowering transaction costs and fostering cooperation.
At the systemic level, global polarity (multipolarity, bipolarity, or unipolarity) dictates strategic alignments and room for diplomatic maneuvering. International law, norms, and multilateral institutions (such as the United Nations, World Trade Organization, and non-proliferation regimes) construct the normative architecture within which states act. Systemic economic globalization, trade patterns, and financial networks further shape foreign economic policy.
At the regional level, neighborhood stability, regional security dilemmas, and regional organizations (such as ASEAN, the European Union, or SCO) define immediate security environments and opportunities for integration. Bilaterally, great power rivalries, alliance structures, and external threat perceptions dictate strategic choices. James Rosenau's "pre-theory" (1966) and his idea of "linkage politics" stress that external and internal sources interact, and that their weight varies with a state's size, development and openness. While internal determinants (political leadership, regime type, domestic economic capacity, and strategic culture) generate foreign policy goals, external determinants establish the boundary conditions and systemic incentives under which those goals must be pursued.
(b) Significance of the "West Asia Quad" and India's 'Look West' Policy
The "West Asia Quad", first convened at foreign-minister level in October 2021 and institutionalized as the I2U2 grouping of India, Israel, the UAE and the United States at a virtual leaders' summit in July 2022, emerged in the aftermath of the Abraham Accords (2020). It marks a transition in India's 'Look West' policy (announced in 2005 and later recast as 'Link West') from transactional bilateralism toward minilateralism.
The significance of the grouping is multidimensional. Economically, it focuses on mobilizing private sector capital and expertise in water, energy, transportation, space, health, and food security, including a UAE pledge of about $2 billion for integrated food parks in India using US and Israeli technology, and a hybrid renewable-energy project in Gujarat. Strategically, although its agenda is deliberately economic rather than military, it normalises cooperation between India's security partners in the region and complements India's separate security ties with each of them.
Diplomatically, I2U2 bridges India's historically compartmentalized ties with Israel and the Arab Gulf, anchoring regional stability that directly protects over eight million Indian expatriates and vital remittance flows. Furthermore, it serves as a foundational platform for broader geoeconomic integration, harmonizing with initiatives like the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) to secure resilient supply chains and alternative trade routes, though the Gaza war since October 2023 has slowed both I2U2 and IMEC.
(c) Major Drivers of India's Interests in Africa
India's engagement with Africa represents a convergence of economic imperatives, geopolitical strategy, and historical South-South solidarity.
Economically, Africa is central to India's resource security, providing crude oil, natural gas, and critical minerals such as cobalt and lithium required for India's clean energy transition. Africa also offers expanding consumer markets for Indian manufactured goods, agricultural machinery, and generic pharmaceuticals.
Strategically, African nations constitute a decisive voting bloc of 54 states crucial for India’s global governance objectives, especially its bid for a reformed, permanent United Nations Security Council seat. In the maritime domain, East African littoral states are integral to India's SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region) vision, helping preserve open sea lanes and counterbalance China's expanding economic and naval presence, such as its base in Djibouti (2017). India's role in securing the African Union's G20 membership in 2023 reinforced its standing on the continent.
Developmentally, India’s partnership is anchored in demand-driven, non-extractive cooperation through the India-Africa Forum Summit (IAFS) framework. This is driven by concessional Lines of Credit (LoC), capacity-building under the Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation (ITEC) programme, tele-education initiatives, and the cultural presence of a substantial Indian diaspora.
Together, minilateral platforms like I2U2 and comprehensive partnerships across Africa illustrate India's multi-aligned foreign policy, which pragmatically leverages external determinants to advance national development while fostering an inclusive, multipolar world order.
How this answer will be evaluated
Framework: Concept > Theory and theorist > Application > Critique
What earns full marks: Comprehensive, theoretically grounded, specific examples, clear structure
Evaluation rubric
Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.
- (a) Identify and explain the external factors that shape a state's foreign policy. 20 marks
explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close
Must cover
- Geography and strategic location; structure of the international system (bipolar, unipolar, multipolar) and balance of power
- Security threats, alliances, arms races; international organisations and treaty regimes (UN, WTO, NPT) that constrain and shape choices
- Economic interdependence: trade, globalisation, energy; sanctions; external pressure from major powers
- Global issues and transnational forces: terrorism, climate, pandemics, technology, non-State actors, diaspora; media and public diplomacy
Loses marks
- Confusing internal with external determinants
- Listing factors without explaining their impact
- Ignoring the state-centric nature of the question
Earns more
- Theories: Waltz's systemic level of analysis; Rosenau's pre-theory; Singer's levels of analysis
- Role of international organisations (UN, WTO) and international law
- Global crises: Covid-19, climate, the 2008 financial crisis, the Ukraine war
Extra mark
- Specific examples: India's 1991 shift (end of the Cold War), Japan and Germany after 1945
- Internal determinants for contrast: domestic politics, leaders, ideology
- (b) Discuss the significance of the 'West Asia Quad' (I2U2) within India's 'Look West' policy. 15 marks
discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close
Must cover
- 'Look West' policy: deepening engagement with the Gulf and West Asia - energy (about 60% of crude imports), about 9 million diaspora, remittances, about US$200 billion trade, 'Think West' (2019)
- I2U2 (West Asia Quad): India, Israel, UAE, US; formed October 2021, first leaders' (virtual) summit July 2022; six areas - water, energy, transportation, space, health, food security
- Benefits: investment (UAE's US$2 billion for food parks in India, hybrid renewable project in Gujarat), technology from Israel, energy and food security, connectivity (IMEC 2023), 'de-hyphenating' Israel-Arab ties (Abraham Accords)
- Strategic aspects: balancing China's inroads in the Gulf, counter-terrorism, links to the Quad and Indo-Pacific; limits - Gaza war since 2023, dormancy of I2U2, ties with Iran, Palestine
Loses marks
- Treating 'Look West' as only about West Asia
- Ignoring the 'Quad' specific context
- Vague generalities without specific policy links
Earns more
- Bilateral: CEPA with the UAE 2022, I2U2 summit 2022, India-Israel FTA talks
- Diaspora of about 9 million, remittances of US$50 billion plus
- Defence and security: India-UAE defence ties, Israeli defence technology, Varuna and Desert Knight exercises
Extra mark
- 'Think West' (2019) and the Link West policy
- Roles: UAE finance, Israel technology, US security and market
- (c) Identify and explain the key factors driving India's engagement with Africa. 15 marks
discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close
Must cover
- Energy and resources: oil (Nigeria, Angola), gas (Mozambique), critical minerals (cobalt, lithium), pulses and food security
- Trade and investment: market for Indian goods, pharma, IT, automobiles; trade of about US$100 billion; India-Africa Forum Summits (2008, 2011, 2015); lines of credit of about US$12 billion; Pan-African e-Network
- Diaspora (about 3 million of Indian origin) and soft power: ITEC, scholarships, Vaccine Maitri, cultural ties, shared colonial past and South-South solidarity
- Strategic: balancing China's BRI and debt diplomacy, votes at the UN (including for a UNSC seat), Indian Ocean security (Djibouti, Mozambique Channel), the African Union's permanent G20 membership; 10 Guiding Principles (2018, Uganda)
Loses marks
- Focusing only on economic interests
- Ignoring the political/diplomatic dimension
- Vague statements without specific drivers
Earns more
- Sectors: IT, pharma, agriculture, infrastructure; solar (ISA)
- India-Africa Forum Summit; Pan-African e-Network; Mahatma Gandhi link, South African roots of satyagraha
- Balancing Chinese influence and debt concerns
Extra mark
- India-Africa trade of about US$100 billion (2022-23)
- Partnerships: Nigeria, South Africa, Egypt, Kenya, Ethiopia
What "Discuss" is asking you to do
Lay the issue out from more than one side — how it arose, what is claimed for it, what is held against it, and where it now stands. UPSC attaches discuss to broad topics with several live dimensions, so coverage of the dimensions earns more than the strength of your opinion.
Structure that answers it
Set the issue up → the case as it is made → the case against → the dimension both sides leave out → where the balance now lies
Where marks are lost
Listing facts with no thread between them, or arguing one side throughout and calling it a discussion.
Practice this exact question
Write your answer and it is marked point by point against the model answer above — what you covered, what you missed, what you got wrong.
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