Economics 2024 Paper II 50 marks Evaluate

Paper II — Q6

(a) Evaluate the policy of Government of India with regard to foreign investment in the country. Do you feel that there is a need…

(a)

Evaluate the policy of Government of India with regard to foreign investment in the country. Do you feel that there is a need for control of their activities ? 20 marks

(b)

What steps have been taken by the Government of India to increase exports during the last 10 years ? Have these yielded the desired result ? Examine. 15 marks

(c)

Why second green revolution was advocated for India ? Mention the recommendation of the National Commission for Farmers in this regard. 15 marks

हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें

(क) देश में विदेशी निवेश के सन्दर्भ में भारत सरकार की नीति का मूल्यांकन कीजिए । क्या आप महसूस करते हैं कि उनके क्रिया-कलापों को नियंत्रित करने की आवश्यकता है ? (20 अंक) (ख) विगत दस वर्षों में निर्यातों में वृद्धि हेतु भारत सरकार द्वारा कौन से कदम उठाए गए हैं ? क्या इनसे वांछित परिणाम प्राप्त हुए ? परीक्षण कीजिए । (15 अंक) (ग) भारत में द्वितीय हरित क्रांति का पक्ष-समर्थन क्यों किया गया ? इस संदर्भ में राष्ट्रीय कृषक आयोग की संस्तुतियों का उल्लेख कीजिए । (15 अंक)

Q6 of the 2024 UPSC Mains Economics Paper II, as printed
The question as printed in the 2024 Economics paper

Model answer

Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the expected length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.

(a) Foreign Investment Policy and the Need for Regulation

India’s foreign direct investment (FDI) regime has evolved from a pre-1991 restrictive, import-substituting framework governed by FERA to an open, post-1991 regime under FEMA. The current framework operates through two channels: the Automatic Route, covering the vast majority of sectors, and the Government Route for sensitive domains. Sectoral caps have been progressively eased, expanding defence to 74% under the automatic route (100% via government approval), insurance to 100% (after the Sabka Bima Sabki Raksha amendments of 2025), and single-brand retail to 100%. In multi-brand retail, FDI remains capped at 51% with mandatory domestic sourcing conditions, while the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) was abolished in 2017 to enhance administrative efficiency. Gross FDI inflows have stayed large (about USD 80 billion a year), but net FDI fell sharply in 2024-25 because of heavy repatriation by foreign investors and rising outward investment by Indian firms, a reminder that India must compete for capital.

Evaluating this policy reveals that while FDI inflows have provided stable, non-debt capital and integrated Indian industry into global supply chains, calibrated regulatory control remains indispensable. First, national security considerations require targeted oversight, as demonstrated by Press Note 3 (2020), which mandated prior government approval for investments from countries sharing land borders to curb opportunistic takeovers. Second, regulatory checks prevent aggressive transfer pricing and excessive profit repatriation, ensuring genuine domestic technology transfer and value addition. Third, FDI limits in multi-brand retail protect millions of livelihoods in the unorganized retail and small farming sectors from predatory pricing. The appropriate policy stance is not protectionist obstruction, but strategic regulation that safeguards economic sovereignty while maintaining an investor-friendly climate.

(b) Export Promotion Measures (Last 10 Years) and Outcomes

Over the past decade, the Government has implemented structural and fiscal measures to scale exports: The Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products (RoDTEP) replaced earlier non-WTO-compliant schemes; the Export Promotion Capital Goods (EPCG) framework was streamlined; and the Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme was rolled out across 14 manufacturing sectors. Concurrently, India revitalized its trade policy through the Foreign Trade Policy 2023 and modern trade agreements, notably the India-UAE CEPA, the India-Australia ECTA, the India-EFTA TEPA (in force from October 2025) and the India-UK CETA (signed in 2025), alongside the ‘Districts as Export Hubs’ initiative, the National Logistics Policy and PM Gati Shakti, and the Export Promotion Mission announced in the Budget 2025-26.

These measures have yielded mixed results. On the positive side, total exports of goods and services reached a record of about $825 billion in 2024-25, driven by resilient services exports (information technology and business consulting) and rapid growth in electronics manufacturing and smartphone exports under PLI. However, structural deficits persist. Merchandise exports remain vulnerable to global demand shocks, with the export-to-GDP ratio remaining largely range-bound between 20% and 22%. Market diversification beyond traditional Western destinations remains slow, and the merchandise trade deficit continues to be wide due to heavy import dependencies on crude oil, gold, and critical electronic components. India's share of world merchandise exports is still below 2%, labour-intensive exports such as textiles and leather have stagnated, and the sharp rise in US tariffs in 2025 showed the risk of market concentration.

(c) The Second Green Revolution and NCF Recommendations

The call for a Second Green Revolution emerged because the initial Green Revolution of the 1960s resulted in severe ecological and spatial distortions: acute groundwater depletion, soil salinity and nutrient imbalance, crop monoculture vulnerability, and regional concentration in north-western India. Yields in these green revolution heartlands hit a plateau. The Second Green Revolution is conceived to be ecologically sustainable, nutrition-focused, and regionally balanced, specifically targeting rainfed agro-ecosystems and the eastern states (Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India).

The National Commission on Farmers (NCF), chaired by Prof. M.S. Swaminathan, submitted five reports in 2004–06 and provided the blueprint for this transformation:

  1. Pricing and Returns: Setting the Minimum Support Price (MSP) at least 50% above the weighted average cost of production (commonly read as C2 + 50%); since 2018 the Government fixes MSP at 1.5 times A2 + family labour cost.
  2. Credit and Risk Management: Reducing agricultural credit interest rates to 4%, establishing an Agriculture Risk Fund, and restructuring debt during consecutive natural calamities.
  3. Resource Conservation: Prioritizing aquifer recharge, participatory watershed management, and soil health testing.
  4. Value Addition and Markets: Expanding post-harvest infrastructure, setting up state-of-the-art grading and storage facilities, and fostering farmer-centric market access.

The NCF also stressed land reforms and tenancy security, and Farm Schools and knowledge centres for extension. Despite significant progress in soil health cards, Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India and rural credit expansion, implementation gaps remain regarding statutory MSP guarantees and tenancy security.

How this answer will be evaluated

Framework: UPSC General Studies Paper II (Economics)

What earns full marks: Precise policy analysis with specific data, balanced judgment, and clear linkage between measures and outcomes.

Evaluation rubric

Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.

  1. (a) Evaluate India's foreign investment policy and whether foreign investors' activities need control. 20 marks

    evaluate— criteria → evidence → balanced judgment

    Must cover

    • Evolution: FERA to FEMA, automatic vs government route, FIPB abolished (2017), sectoral caps eased (defence 74% automatic, insurance 100%, single-brand retail 100%, space), MBRT 51%
    • Outcomes: large gross inflows, technology, GVC links; recent fall in net FDI because of repatriation and outward FDI
    • Need for control: national security (Press Note 3, 2020), tax avoidance and transfer pricing, round-tripping, sectors like retail and media, data
    • Balanced view: calibrated regulation with stable, predictable rules (bilateral investment treaties, tax certainty)

    Loses marks

    • Outdated caps presented as current
    • Either total opposition or total openness without reasoning

    Earns more

    • FPI and ECB distinction
    • Top sources and sectors

    Extra mark

    • Model BIT 2016 and arbitration cases
  2. (b) State export-promotion steps of the last ten years and whether they yielded results. 15 marks

    examine— intro → how/why with reasoning → evidence → conclusion

    Must cover

    • Measures: FTP 2015 and FTP 2023, RoDTEP/RoSCTL, PLI, Districts as Export Hubs, logistics (PM Gati Shakti, National Logistics Policy), new FTAs (UAE, Australia, EFTA, UK)
    • Results: record total exports (about $825 billion in 2024-25), services and electronics strong
    • Shortfalls: merchandise exports stagnant as share of world trade, trade deficit, concentration in few products and markets, low labour-intensive exports
    • Challenges: protectionism and tariff shocks, CBAM, quality and logistics costs; balanced conclusion

    Loses marks

    • Listing schemes without results
    • Wrong data

    Earns more

    • Export Promotion Mission (Budget 2025-26)
    • Data on smartphone exports

    Extra mark

    • India's share in world merchandise exports (~1.8%)
  3. (c) Explain why a second green revolution was advocated and state the National Commission on Farmers' recommendations. 15 marks

    explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close

    Must cover

    • Reasons: stagnating yields, regional concentration, groundwater depletion and soil degradation, neglect of rainfed areas and pulses/oilseeds, farmer distress
    • Features: sustainable, eastern and rainfed regions, diversification, technology (biotech, precision), nutrition
    • NCF (Swaminathan, 2004–06): MSP at least 50% above weighted average cost of production, credit at 4% and crop insurance, land reforms and tenancy, irrigation and water management, knowledge centres and extension, market reforms
    • Implementation status: A2+FL+50% MSP since 2018, BGREI, soil health cards; gaps remain

    Loses marks

    • No NCF recommendations
    • Confusing NCF with Swaminathan's 1960s work

    Earns more

    • Evergreen revolution concept
    • National Policy for Farmers 2007

    Extra mark

    • Climate-resilient agriculture link
What "Evaluate" is asking you to do

Judge how well something has performed against the standard it set for itself — its stated aim, mandate or promise — and commit to a verdict. Name the yardstick before you judge; an unanchored judgement reads as opinion.

Structure that answers it

Name the yardstick — stated aim, mandate or benchmark → performance against it → shortfall against it → why the gap exists → verdict

Where marks are lost

Presenting both sides and then declining to decide, or delivering a verdict against a standard you never stated, which makes it look arbitrary.

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