Economics 2025 Paper I 50 marks Explain

Paper I — Q6

(a) Explain the price effect, protective effect, consumption effect, revenue effect and distributive effect of tariff in partial…

(a)

Explain the price effect, protective effect, consumption effect, revenue effect and distributive effect of tariff in partial equilibrium framework. 20 marks

(b)

Define the concepts of trade creation and trade diversion. Explain their role in the context of gains from trade bloc. 5+10=15

(c)

Do you think that perfect capital mobility under fixed exchange rate improves the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies ? Explain. 15 marks

हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
(a)

आंशिक संतुलन ढांचे में सीमा-शुल्क (टैरिफ) के मूल्य प्रभाव, संरक्षणात्मक प्रभाव, उपभोग प्रभाव, राजस्व प्रभाव एवं वितरण प्रभाव की व्याख्या कीजिए। 20

(b)

व्यापार सृजन और व्यापार विचलन की अवधारणाओं को परिभाषित कीजिए। व्यापार समूह (ट्रेड ब्लॉक) से व्युत्पन्न लाभ के संदर्भ में उनकी भूमिका की व्याख्या कीजिए। 5+10=15

(c)

क्या आपको लगता है कि स्थिर विनिमय दर के अंतर्गत पूर्ण पूंजी गतिशीलता, राजकोषीय और मौद्रिक नीतियों की प्रभावशीलता में सुधार करती है ? समझाइए। 15

Q6 of the 2025 UPSC Mains Economics Paper I, as printed
The question as printed in the 2025 Economics paper

Model answer

Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the expected length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.

(a) Effects of a tariff in partial equilibrium

In partial equilibrium, for a small country facing world price Pw, a specific tariff t raises the domestic price to Pw+t. The price effect is the rise in price paid by consumers. The protective effect follows because domestic producers receive the higher price and expand output from S1 to S2; producer surplus rises. The consumption effect is the fall in quantity demanded from D1 to D2. The revenue effect is tariff receipts equal to t multiplied by post-tariff imports (D2−S2). The distributive effect is seen in welfare areas: consumers lose the area between the old and new prices to the left of demand; producers gain the area between the two prices to the left of supply; the government gains tariff revenue; and two deadweight triangles remain—one from producing more at higher domestic cost and one from consuming less. Thus a tariff transfers part of consumer surplus to producers and the state but creates efficiency loss. If the country is large, the tariff may improve terms of trade; strategic trade policy and optimal tariff theory modify this simple conclusion, though the partial-equilibrium analysis assumes no retaliation.

Diagram: Small-country tariff in partial equilibrium: price, protective, consumption, revenue and distributive effects

(b) Trade creation and trade diversion

In a customs union or free trade area, trade creation occurs when imports from a low-cost member replace higher-cost domestic production, moving resources to more efficient use and raising welfare. Trade diversion occurs when imports shift from a low-cost non-member to a higher-cost member because the member’s preferential tariff is lower. The diversion loss is the extra cost of buying from the higher-cost partner, (Pp−Pw)×M0, where Pp is member price, Pw world price and M0 the diverted volume. This loss may be outweighed by trade-creation gains; consumer surplus gains may even exceed the tariff revenue lost on diverted imports. Viner’s analysis therefore makes the net gain from a trade bloc ambiguous: it depends on whether creation exceeds diversion, the size of tariffs removed, and the relative costs of members and outsiders. India’s post-1991 tariff cuts and WTO commitments show that trade liberalisation can raise efficiency, but sectoral exposure and preferential arrangements require careful design.

Diagram: Viner: trade creation and trade diversion when a customs union is formed with a higher-cost partner

(c) Fiscal and monetary policy under perfect capital mobility with a fixed exchange rate

Perfect capital mobility does not improve both policies: it makes fiscal policy fully effective and monetary policy wholly ineffective. Under Mundell-Fleming, perfect capital mobility makes the BP curve horizontal at the world interest rate. With a fixed exchange rate, monetary policy is ineffective: an expansionary monetary shift lowers the domestic interest rate, causing capital outflow; the central bank sells foreign reserves to defend the parity, the money supply contracts, and output returns to its initial level. Fiscal policy is highly effective: an expansionary fiscal shift raises output and the interest rate, attracting capital inflows; the central bank buys foreign currency, expanding the money supply and shifting LM right, so there is no crowding out. However, this short-run effectiveness is not necessarily sustainable. Persistent fiscal expansion or external shocks can exhaust reserves, and the impossible trinity implies that a country cannot simultaneously have a fixed exchange rate, free capital mobility and independent monetary policy. India’s RBI-managed float and capital-account management preserve monetary-policy space, illustrating the trade-off.

Diagram: Mundell-Fleming with perfect capital mobility and a fixed exchange rate: monetary policy ineffective, fiscal policy fully effective

How this answer will be evaluated

Framework: Partial Equilibrium Analysis

What earns full marks: All parts with correct diagrams, derivations, and policy implications; named economists referenced

Evaluation rubric

Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.

  1. (a) Explain five specific effects of tariff in partial equilibrium framework. 20 marks

    explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close

    Must cover

    • Price effect (Pw + t); protective effect (output S1→S2; producer surplus)
    • Consumption effect (D1→D2) and revenue effect t × (D2 − S2)
    • Distributive effect with the two deadweight-loss triangles
    • Large-country terms-of-trade/optimal-tariff caveat and no-retaliation assumption

    Loses marks

    • Verbal description without diagram
    • Confusing partial with general equilibrium effects
    • Missing welfare triangle identification

    Earns more

    • Standard partial equilibrium diagram with labeled areas
    • Deadweight loss triangles identified (production and consumption)
    • Consumer and producer surplus changes quantified
    • Government revenue area clearly marked

    Extra mark

    • Reference to Viner or standard trade theory text
    • Numerical example with specific tariff rate
  2. (b) Define trade creation and trade diversion; explain their role in trade bloc gains. 15 marks

    define— precise definition → the distinguishing feature → one example

    Must cover

    • Trade creation defined (low-cost member replaces domestic production; welfare gain)
    • Trade diversion defined (shift from low-cost non-member to higher-cost member; loss (Pp − Pw)M0)
    • Viner's ambiguous net gain; conditions for beneficial blocs
    • India/WTO liberalisation example

    Loses marks

    • Confusing trade creation with trade diversion
    • No discussion of net welfare effect
    • Missing the role in trade bloc context

    Earns more

    • Diagram showing cost curves for domestic, bloc, and world
    • Conditions for net gain stated clearly
    • Example of FTA or customs union
    • Distinction between FTA and customs union noted

    Extra mark

    • Reference to Viner (1950) or Balassa
    • Specific FTA example with data
  3. (c) Assess whether perfect capital mobility under fixed exchange rate improves fiscal/monetary policy effectiveness. 15 marks

    comment— context → arguments both sides → judgment → close

    Must cover

    • Perfect capital mobility: horizontal BP under Mundell-Fleming
    • Fixed rates: monetary policy ineffective (outflows, reserve loss, money contraction)
    • Fiscal policy highly effective (inflows expand money supply; no crowding out)
    • Sustainability caveats: reserves exhaustion, impossible trinity; India's managed float

    Loses marks

    • No diagram or model used
    • Confusing fixed with floating exchange rate effects
    • Failing to distinguish fiscal from monetary policy

    Earns more

    • IS-LM-BP diagram with labeled shifts
    • Contrast with floating exchange rate case
    • Policy implications for open economy stated
    • Assumptions of the model clearly stated

    Extra mark

    • Reference to Mundell (1963) or Fleming (1962)
    • Real-world example of fixed rate regime
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Make the working of something clear — what sets it off, what follows from what, and what it produces. Explain is the Commission's mechanism word: it dominates the technical papers and the “explain why” stems, where the marks sit in the causal chain and not in the label.

Structure that answers it

State what it is → the initiating condition → the chain of cause, step by step → an instance where it plays out → what the chain produces

Where marks are lost

Describing what something looks like instead of why it works that way. Naming the stages without linking them reads as description too.

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