Economics 2025 Paper II 50 marks Critically evaluate

Paper II — Q6

(a) What are the causes of industrial backwardness in India? Critically evaluate the role of the New Industrial Policy, announced…

(a)

What are the causes of industrial backwardness in India? Critically evaluate the role of the New Industrial Policy, announced in July 1991, towards correcting such backwardness. 20 marks

(b)

Examine the implications for India due to agreements on agriculture that are signed under the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 1995. 15 marks

(c)

Why is a National Employment Policy necessary for India? What are the initiatives taken by the Government to facilitate employment generation? Explain. 15 marks

हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
(a)

भारत में औद्योगिक पिछड़ेपन के क्या कारण हैं? जुलाई 1991 में घोषित नई औद्योगिक नीति की इस पिछड़ेपन को दूर करने में भूमिका का आलोचनात्मक मूल्यांकन कीजिए। (20 अंक)

(b)

वर्ष 1995 में विश्व व्यापार संगठन (डब्ल्यू. टी. ओ.) के अन्तर्गत कृषि पर हस्ताक्षरित किए गए समझौतों के कारण भारत पर पड़ने वाले प्रभावों की जाँच कीजिए। (15 अंक)

(c)

भारत के लिए राष्ट्रीय रोजगार नीति क्यों आवश्यक है? रोजगार सृजन को सुगम बनाने के लिए सरकार द्वारा क्या-क्या पहल की गई है? व्याख्या कीजिए। (15 अंक)

Q6 of the 2025 UPSC Mains Economics Paper II, as printed
The question as printed in the 2025 Economics paper

Model answer

Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the expected length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.

(a) Industrial backwardness and a critical evaluation of NIP 1991

Industrial backwardness in pre-1991 India was rooted in the colonial legacy of deindustrialization, low gross domestic capital formation, chronic technology gaps, and acute logistical deficits. This was aggravated by regulatory failures under the License-Permit Raj, output curbs under the Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices (MRTP) Act 1969, rigid foreign exchange controls under FERA 1973, extensive Small Scale Industry (SSI) reservations that prevented economies of scale, and severe technical skill shortages.

The New Industrial Policy (NIP) of July 1991 sought to dismantle these constraints by abolishing industrial licensing for most sectors, removing MRTP asset thresholds, liberalizing Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) via automatic routes, diluting FERA (later replaced by FEMA in 1999), and shrinking the public sector's reserved domain through disinvestment.

Critical evaluation and verdict: NIP 1991 successfully dismantled state-enforced entry barriers, curbed rent-seeking, enhanced industrial efficiency, and spurred globally competitive capital- and knowledge-intensive sectors like automobiles and pharmaceuticals. However, on the metric of structural transformation, the policy fell short. Manufacturing’s share of GDP has remained virtually stagnant at 15–17%, producing a trajectory of "jobless growth". By liberalizing product markets while leaving factor markets (land, labour) unreformed and physical infrastructure deficient, NIP 1991 exposed domestic MSMEs to premature global competition without fostering the mass labour-intensive manufacturing base necessary to absorb rural surplus labour.

(b) Implications of the WTO Agreement on Agriculture (1995)

The WTO Agreement on Agriculture (AoA) introduced rules across three core pillars: market access (tariffication of non-tariff barriers), domestic support reduction (disciplining Aggregate Measurement of Support or AMS), and the phase-out of export subsidies (formalized at the Nairobi Ministerial, 2015).

For India, the implications are two-fold:

  • Market Access and Vulnerability: Tariffication allowed India to expand exports in commodities like rice and marine products. However, high non-tariff barriers (sanitary and phytosanitary measures) in developed markets, combined with heavily subsidized Western farm imports under Green Box exemptions, continually threaten domestic smallholders.
  • Domestic Policy Constraints: India’s Minimum Support Price (MSP) and Public Distribution System (PDS) operations face constraints under the 10% de minimis product-specific AMS ceiling, which relies on an outdated 1986–88 external reference price that ignores inflation. The Bali Ministerial (2013) secured a "Peace Clause" protecting public stockholding for food security from legal challenge, which the General Council extended in November 2014 until a permanent solution is agreed; India has invoked it for rice since 2020, and no permanent solution has yet been reached.
  • Border measures and safeguards: India bound most farm tariffs at high ceiling rates, which preserved policy space, but it had to remove its balance-of-payments quantitative restrictions by 2001 after losing a WTO dispute with the US; developing countries' demand for a Special Safeguard Mechanism against import surges remains unmet.

(c) Rationale for a National Employment Policy and government initiatives

A National Employment Policy (NEP) is essential to harness India’s fleeting demographic window, address the structural stagnation where over 45% of the workforce remains in low-productivity agriculture, formalize the overwhelming 85%+ informal sector, mitigate technology- and AI-led labour displacement, and institutionalize international labour standards (ILO Convention C122).

To generate employment, the Government has implemented key multi-pronged interventions:

  • Rural Safety Net: MGNREGA (now succeeded by the VB-G RAM G Act, 2025) provides guaranteed wage employment, mitigating seasonal distress.
  • Skill Development: Skill India, anchored by the National Skills Qualifications Framework (NSQF), aims to bridge the industry-academia skill mismatch.
  • Manufacturing and Enterprise: Make in India, Startup India, PM MUDRA Yojana, and Production Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes across 14 key sectors incentivize labour-absorbing domestic manufacturing.
  • Employment-linked incentives: the Employment Linked Incentive scheme announced in Budget 2024-25 (launched as the PM Viksit Bharat Rozgar Yojana in 2025) subsidises first-time hiring and EPFO contributions, and the PM Internship Scheme places youth in top companies.
  • Labour Reforms and Social Security: Rationalization of 29 central labour laws into four Labour Codes (in force since 21 November 2025) to improve ease of doing business while extending statutory minimum wages, and the e-Shram portal to provide targeted social security architecture for unorganized and gig economy workers.

How this answer will be evaluated

Framework: UPSC Economics Paper II (Indian Economy)

What earns full marks: Comprehensive, critical, and well-structured answers with specific data and policy references.

Evaluation rubric

Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.

  1. (a) Causes of industrial backwardness and a critical assessment of the 1991 New Industrial Policy's role in correcting them. 20 marks

    critically evaluate— positives → negatives/limits → conditions/safeguards → conclusion

    Must cover

    • Causes: colonial deindustrialisation, low capital formation, technology gaps, licensing/MRTP/FERA/SSI reservation, skill shortages
    • NIP 1991 reforms: licensing abolition, MRTP thresholds removed, FDI automatic route, FERA dilution/FEMA, disinvestment
    • Successes: entry barriers removed, efficiency gains, competitive capital/knowledge sectors
    • Shortfalls: manufacturing share stagnant (15-17%), jobless growth, factor-market and infrastructure gaps

    Loses marks

    • Listing causes without linking them to the 1991 policy
    • Describing the 1991 policy without critical evaluation
    • Ignoring the 'backwardness' aspect and focusing only on growth

    Earns more

    • Mention specific sectors that benefited or lagged
    • Reference specific policy instruments (e.g., compulsory-licensing list, reserved public-sector list, FDI caps)
    • Compare pre-1991 and post-1991 industrial growth rates
    • Discuss the role of global integration

    Extra mark

    • Cite specific data on industrial growth or FDI inflows
    • Reference a specific economist or committee report on industrial policy
  2. (b) Implications for India of the 1995 WTO agreements on agriculture. 15 marks

    examine— intro → how/why with reasoning → evidence → conclusion

    Must cover

    • AoA three pillars: market access (tariffication), domestic support (AMS), export subsidy phase-out (Nairobi 2015)
    • India: export gains vs SPS barriers and subsidised Western imports
    • Domestic policy constraints: de minimis 10% AMS, outdated 1986-88 external reference price
    • Peace Clause (Bali 2013, extended Nov 2014; invoked for rice) pending permanent solution; QR removal by 2001; SSM demand

    Loses marks

    • General discussion of WTO without specific focus on agriculture
    • Ignoring the 1995 context and discussing current issues
    • Failing to link WTO rules to Indian domestic policy

    Earns more

    • Mention specific crops affected (e.g., rice, wheat, sugar)
    • Discuss the 'Special Safeguard Mechanism' (SSM)
    • Reference the 'Peace Clause' for domestic support
    • Analyze the impact on food security

    Extra mark

    • Cite specific data on agricultural trade or subsidies
    • Reference a specific WTO dispute or negotiation round
  3. (c) Necessity of a National Employment Policy and government initiatives for employment generation. 15 marks

    explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close

    Must cover

    • Why NEP: demographic window, 45%+ in agriculture, 85%+ informal, AI displacement, ILO C122
    • Initiatives: MGNREGA (now VB-G RAM G Act, 2025); Skill India/NSQF; Make in India, Startup India, MUDRA, PLI (14 sectors); ELI/PM-VBRY, PM Internship
    • Four Labour Codes and e-Shram for unorganised/gig social security
    • Balanced effectiveness view: job quality, informality, low female participation

    Loses marks

    • Listing initiatives without explaining their impact
    • Ignoring the 'necessity' aspect and focusing only on initiatives
    • General discussion without specific reference to Indian context

    Earns more

    • Mention specific schemes (e.g., MGNREGA, PMEGP, Skill India)
    • Discuss the role of the private sector in employment
    • Analyze the impact of demographic dividend
    • Reference specific data on unemployment or employment rates

    Extra mark

    • Cite specific data on employment generation by schemes
    • Reference a specific committee report on employment
What "Critically evaluate" is asking you to do

Judge how well something has performed against the standard it set for itself — its stated aim, mandate or promise — and commit to a verdict. Name the yardstick before you judge; an unanchored judgement reads as opinion. “Critically” is not a section added at the end: name the yardstick you are judging by — the evidence, the stated objective, a constitutional principle, a rival explanation — and let a verdict close each part of the body. Where the question quotes a claim, that verdict must land on the claim itself, accepted, qualified or rejected, and not on the theme in general.

Structure that answers it

Name the yardstick — stated aim, mandate or benchmark → performance against it → shortfall against it → why the gap exists → verdict

Where marks are lost

Merits in one paragraph, demerits in the next, and a conclusion calling for a balanced and holistic approach. That is a survey with the judgement left out and it holds the answer in the middle band. The opposite error is reading “critically” as permission to attack — and with the odd pairings, critically describe or critically explain, the exposition still carries most of the marks, the judgement being a layer on it rather than a substitute for it.

All UPSC directive words, compared →

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