Paper II — Q1
(a) The mean annual income of workers in a company is ₹ 5,000 with a standard deviation of ₹ 1,200. It is suspected that local…
The mean annual income of workers in a company is ₹ 5,000 with a standard deviation of ₹ 1,200. It is suspected that local workers have higher than the average income. A sample of 144 local workers is drawn and their sample mean income is found to be ₹ 5,500. Can it be said that local workers have significantly higher income than the total population ? (Use α = 0·05) 10 marks
What Supply Chain Management (SCM) strategies were adopted by leading e-commerce companies such as Amazon and Flipkart during the lockdown period caused by the Corona Pandemic ? 10 marks
How can information system bring competitive advantage to business organisations by supporting managerial decision-making ? 10 marks
An engineering firm has determined that for a particular part, the cost of purchase is ₹ 350 per order and ₹ 22 per part. Its inventory carrying cost is 15% of the average inventory. The firm currently purchases ₹ 2,20,000 worth of this part every year.
Determine the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ). 5 marks
What is the optimum number of days supply per optimum order ? 5 marks
What is Fisher's ideal index ? Why is it called ideal ? Describe the steps involved in the computation of Fisher's ideal index number. 3+2+5 marks
हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
एक कंपनी के श्रमिकों की औसत वार्षिक आय ₹ 5,000 एवं मानक विचलन ₹ 1,200 है । ऐसा संदेह किया जाता है कि स्थानीय श्रमिकों की आय औसत से ज्यादा है । 144 स्थानीय श्रमिकों का नमूना लिया गया जिनकी औसत आय ₹ 5,500 पाई गई । क्या यह कहा जा सकता है कि स्थानीय श्रमिकों की आय पूरी जनसंख्या से सार्थक रूप से अधिक है ? (α = 0·05 उपयोग कीजिए) 10 अंक
कोरोना वैश्विक महामारी के कारण की गई पूर्णबंदी (लॉकडाउन) के दौरान अमेज़ान एवं फ्लिपकार्ट जैसी प्रमुख ई-कॉमर्स कंपनियों के द्वारा कौन-कौन सी आपूर्ति-शृंखला प्रबंधन (एस.सी.एम.) रणनीतियाँ अपनाई गईं ? 10 अंक
सूचना प्रणाली व्यवसाय संगठनों को प्रबंधकीय निर्णय लेने में सहायता देकर किस प्रकार प्रतिस्पर्धात्मक लाभ दे सकती है ? 10 अंक
एक अभियांत्रिकी प्रतिष्ठान ने निश्चय किया है कि किसी विशेष पुर्जे के लिए क्रय की लागत ₹ 350 प्रति आदेश एवं ₹ 22 प्रति पुर्जा होगी । इसका माल रखने (इन्वेंटरी कैरिंग) की लागत औसत माल का 15% है । प्रतिष्ठान वर्तमान में ₹ 2,20,000 मूल्य के पुर्जे प्रति वर्ष खरीदता है ।
आर्थिक आदेश मात्रा (ई.ओ.क्यू.) की गणना कीजिए । 5 अंक
प्रत्येक अनुकूलतम आदेश में कितने अनुकूल दिनों की आपूर्ति होती है ? 5 अंक
फिशर का आदर्श सूचकांक क्या है ? इसे आदर्श क्यों कहा जाता है ? फिशर के आदर्श सूचकांक की गणना में सम्मिलित चरणों का वर्णन कीजिए । 3+2+5 अंक
Model answer
Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the expected length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.
(a) Test of local workers' income
H₀: μ = ₹5,000; H₁: μ > ₹5,000 (right-tailed, since local income is suspected to be higher).
σ is known and n = 144 is large, so use the Z-test.
Standard error = σ/√n = 1,200/12 = ₹100.
Z = (5,500 − 5,000)/100 = 5.
At α = 0.05 the one-tailed critical value is 1.645 (the table gives 0.4500 between 0 and Z, i.e. Z ≈ 1.645). Since 5 > 1.645, H₀ is rejected; the p-value is almost zero, far below 0.05.
Conclusion: local workers' mean income is significantly higher than ₹5,000, assuming a random sample.
(b) SCM strategies of Amazon and Flipkart in the lockdown
The lockdown turned supply chains from efficiency-first to resilience-first. Both firms used these strategies:
Prioritising essentials: operations were limited to groceries, medicines and hygiene products, with non-essential categories paused and demand forecasts and stock allocation reworked for the surge.
Sourcing resilience: wider seller and supplier bases, including local kirana stores, farmers and MSMEs, and buffer stock of critical items.
Network redesign: stock placed closer to demand through hyperlocal hubs and additional fulfilment nodes.
Last-mile innovation: contactless delivery, sanitised packaging, OTP and digital payments, delivery fleets (Amazon Flex, Flipkart's eKart) and gig workers.
Visibility and safety: real-time tracking and analytics to cut stock-outs, thermal screening, masks and staggered shifts, plus coordination with authorities for movement passes.
These measures kept supply chains functioning and strengthened resilience against disruption.
(c) Information systems and competitive advantage
Information systems support managers at three levels. Operationally, transaction processing and point-of-sale systems automate routine work and trigger reorders. Tactically, MIS, DSS, ERP and CRM support budgeting, forecasting, scheduling and pricing. Strategically, executive information systems and business intelligence support scenario analysis and market intelligence.
Better decisions create advantage through:
- Speed and accuracy: real-time data cuts uncertainty and response time.
- Cost leadership: tighter inventory, automation and lower transaction costs.
- Differentiation: personalisation, faster delivery and better service from customer data.
- Coordination: ERP and SCM link suppliers, plants and customers.
Illustration: Walmart's data-driven replenishment keeps shelves stocked at low cost; Amazon's recommendation engine lifts sales. Success needs data quality, user training, security and alignment with strategy.
(d)(i) Economic order quantity
Annual demand D = 2,20,000 ÷ 22 = 10,000 parts. Ordering cost S = ₹350; carrying cost H = 15% of 22 = ₹3.30 per part per year.
EOQ = √(2DS/H) = √(2 × 10,000 × 350 ÷ 3.30) = √2,121,212 ≈ 1,456 parts.
The EOQ assumes constant demand, constant cost and instant replenishment.
(d)(ii) Days' supply per order
Daily demand = 10,000/365 = 27.4 parts.
Days' supply = 1,456.4 ÷ 27.4 ≈ 53 days (about 6.87 orders a year; about 52 days on a 360-day year).
(e) Fisher's ideal index
Fisher's index is the geometric mean of the Laspeyres and Paasche indices: F = √(L × P) × 100 in ratio form, where L = Σp₁q₀/Σp₀q₀ and P = Σp₁q₁/Σp₀q₁.
It is called ideal because it satisfies both the time reversal test (F₀₁ × F₁₀ = 1) and the factor reversal test (price index × quantity index = value index), and it balances the upward bias of Laspeyres against the downward bias of Paasche. It does not satisfy the circular test.
Steps:
- Fix base and current years; list p₀, q₀, p₁, q₁ for each item.
- Compute p₀q₀, p₁q₀, p₀q₁ and p₁q₁.
- Sum each column.
- Compute Laspeyres L = Σp₁q₀/Σp₀q₀ × 100.
- Compute Paasche P = Σp₁q₁/Σp₀q₁ × 100.
- Take the square root of L × P.
- Read above 100 as a net rise, below 100 as a net fall.
How this answer will be evaluated
Framework: null
What earns full marks: Accurate calculations, specific examples, clear frameworks, and strong critical analysis.
Evaluation rubric
Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.
- (a) One-tailed Z-test of whether local workers' mean income exceeds ₹5,000. 10 marks
calculate— given → formula → substitution → result with units → interpretation
Must cover
- State H₀: μ = 5000 and H₁: μ > 5000
- Compute SE = 100 and Z = 5
- Compare with the critical value 1.645 and conclude (reject H₀)
Loses marks
- Two-tailed test instead of one-tailed
- Wrong standard error
Earns more
- Use of the supplied normal table
- Statement of sampling assumptions
Extra mark
- p-value interpretation
- (b) SCM strategies of Amazon and Flipkart during the Covid-19 lockdown. 10 marks
discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close
Must cover
- Essentials prioritisation and demand/stock reallocation
- Sourcing and network resilience (local sellers, hyperlocal hubs)
- Last-mile and safety measures linked to lockdown constraints
Loses marks
- Generic SCM theory without company application
- Mixing pre-pandemic practice with lockdown adaptation
Earns more
- Specific company actions (Amazon Flex, eKart, kirana tie-ups)
- Supply chain visibility and resilience
Extra mark
- Data on delivery times or stock levels
- (c) How information systems supporting managerial decisions give competitive advantage. 10 marks
explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close
Must cover
- Link information systems to decision-making at operational, tactical and strategic levels
- Connect better decisions to cost, differentiation or speed advantage
- Give a concrete example
Loses marks
- Purely technical description of IS
- Ignoring competitive advantage
Earns more
- Naming systems such as ERP, CRM, DSS, BI
- Real-time data processing
Extra mark
- A company IS success story
- (d)(i) Compute the Economic Order Quantity. 5 marks
calculate— given → formula → substitution → result with units → interpretation
Must cover
- Annual demand D = 10,000 and carrying cost H = ₹3.30
- Apply EOQ = √(2DS/H) with substitution
- State EOQ ≈ 1,456 parts
Loses marks
- Wrong carrying cost per unit
- Arithmetic errors in the formula
Earns more
- Correct derivation of D from the purchase value
Extra mark
- Stating EOQ assumptions
- (d)(ii) Optimum number of days' supply per optimum order. 5 marks
calculate— given → formula → substitution → result with units → interpretation
Must cover
- Use EOQ from part (i)
- Compute daily demand (10,000/365)
- State days' supply ≈ 53
Loses marks
- Using a wrong EOQ
- Confusing days' supply with something else
Earns more
- Clear step-by-step working
Extra mark
- Link to orders per year or turnover
- (e) Define Fisher's ideal index, explain why it is ideal and describe the computation steps. 10 marks
describe— define → structure or process in order → labelled diagram → significance
Must cover
- Define Fisher's index as the geometric mean of Laspeyres and Paasche
- Explain the time reversal and factor reversal tests
- List the computation steps with formulas
Loses marks
- Omitting why it is ideal
- Wrong formula for the geometric mean
Earns more
- Balancing the biases of Laspeyres and Paasche
- Note that it fails the circular test
Extra mark
- Comparison with other index numbers
What "Solve" is asking you to do
Choose the method, then carry it through to a final answer. Identifying what kind of problem this is and why that method applies is the first thing marked; a correct figure arrived at invisibly earns almost nothing.
Structure that answers it
Given data and what is required → method chosen, with the reason it applies → set-up (equation, circuit, free body, trial balance) → working, step by step → answer with units and any condition of validity
Where marks are lost
Doing the middle steps mentally and writing only the result. In mathematics papers, a further loss comes from giving a decimal where the exact value in surds or fractions was wanted, or from skipping the justification a part explicitly asks for.
Practice this exact question
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