Paper II — Q4
(a) (i) How does the balancing line reduce the cost of idleness? Describe the steps involved in solving a line balancing problem…
How does the balancing line reduce the cost of idleness? Describe the steps involved in solving a line balancing problem. 5 marks
W.E. Deming said, "85% of poor quality can be attributed to management". Discuss this statement in the context of World Class Manufacturing Systems. 5 marks
What role is played by Green belts, Black belts and Master Black belts for managing 'Six-Sigma' quality in a Software Development Company? 5 marks
For a project, the following information is given:
| Activity | Node | Expected Activity Completion Time |
|---|---|---|
| A | 1 – 2 | 11 |
| B | 2 – 3 | 10 |
| C | 2 – 4 | 8 |
| D | 2 – 5 | 5 |
| E | 3 – 6 | 6 |
| F | 4 – 6 | 9 |
| G | 5 – 7 | 2 |
| H | 6 – 7 | 7 |
| I | 7 – 8 | 12 |
| J | 7 – 9 | 5 |
(A) Draw the network diagram. 3 marks (B) Find the critical path. 2 marks
Twelve salesmen are ranked for efficiency and their length of service. Find the rank correlation coefficient.
| Salesmen | Efficiency | Length of Service |
|---|---|---|
| A | 1 | 2 |
| B | 2 | 1 |
| C | 3 | 5 |
| D | 5 | 3 |
| E | 5 | 9 |
| F | 5 | 7 |
| G | 7 | 7 |
| H | 8 | 6 |
| I | 9 | 4 |
| J | 10 | 11 |
| K | 11 | 10 |
| L | 12 | 11 |
What are the tenets of Central Limit Theorem? Discuss the concept of Standard Error. What is its utility in hypothesis testing? 3+2+5 marks
Why is ERP important to a company? 4 marks
Explain the economic aspects of ERP implementation and the hidden cost therein. 5 marks
Discuss in detail any three ERP implementation strategies. 6 marks
हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
किस प्रकार संतुलन रेखा निश्चितता की लागत को कम करती है? रेखीय संतुलन समस्या को हल करने में शामिल चरणों का वर्णन कीजिए।
डब्ल्यू.ई. डेमिंग के शब्दों में "खराब गुणवत्ता का 85% श्रेय प्रबंधन को दिया जा सकता है"। विश्व स्तरीय उत्पादन प्रणालियों के संदर्भ में इस कथन की विवेचना कीजिए।
एक सॉफ्टवेयर विकसित करने वाली कंपनी में 'सिक्स-सिग्मा' गुणवत्ता के प्रबंधन में ग्रीन बेल्ट, ब्लैक बेल्ट एवं मास्टर ब्लैक बेल्ट की क्या भूमिका होती है?
किसी परियोजना के लिए निम्नलिखित सूचनाएं दी गई हैं:
| गतिविधि | नोड | संभावित गतिविधि समापन समय |
|---|---|---|
| ए | 1 – 2 | 11 |
| बी | 2 – 3 | 10 |
| सी | 2 – 4 | 8 |
| डी | 2 – 5 | 5 |
| ई | 3 – 6 | 6 |
| एफ | 4 – 6 | 9 |
| जी | 5 – 7 | 2 |
| एच | 6 – 7 | 7 |
| आई | 7 – 8 | 12 |
| जे | 7 – 9 | 5 |
(A) नेटवर्क आरेख खींचिए। (B) क्रांतिक पथ (क्रिटिकल रास्ता) खोजिए।
बारह बिक्रीकर्ताओं को उनकी दक्षता एवं सेवा अवधि के आधार पर क्रम में रखा गया है। कोटि सहसंबंध गुणांक निकालिए:
| बिक्रीकर्ता | दक्षता | सेवा अवधि |
|---|---|---|
| ए | 1 | 2 |
| बी | 2 | 1 |
| सी | 3 | 5 |
| डी | 5 | 3 |
| ई | 5 | 9 |
| एफ | 5 | 7 |
| जी | 7 | 7 |
| एच | 8 | 6 |
| आई | 9 | 4 |
| जे | 10 | 11 |
| के | 11 | 10 |
| एल | 12 | 11 |
केन्द्रीय सीमा (सेन्ट्रल लिमिट) प्रमेय के सिद्धान्त क्या हैं? मानक त्रुटि की अवधारणा की विवेचना कीजिए। परिकल्पना परीक्षण में इसकी क्या उपयोगिता है?
किसी कम्पनी के लिए ई.आर.पी. क्यों महत्त्वपूर्ण है?
ई.आर.पी. क्रियान्वयन के आर्थिक पहलुओं एवं उसमें छुपी लागतों को समझाइए।
किन्हीं तीन ई.आर.पी. क्रियान्वयन रणनीतियों के बारे में विस्तार से विवेचना कीजिए।
Model answer
Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the expected length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.
(a)(i) Line balancing and the cost of idleness
Line balancing assigns tasks to workstations so that each station's work content is close to the cycle time, which cuts waiting time and so the cost of idle labour and machines. Steps: (1) list tasks, times and precedence; (2) compute cycle time = available time ÷ required output; (3) find the minimum stations = total task time ÷ cycle time, rounded up; (4) assign tasks using a rule such as longest task time or ranked positional weight, within precedence and cycle time; (5) compute efficiency = total task time ÷ (stations × cycle time), and idle time; (6) rebalance until efficiency is satisfactory.
(a)(ii) Deming's 85 per cent and World Class Manufacturing
Deming held that most defects arise from the system (design, equipment, materials, methods, training and targets), which only management can change, not from workers' carelessness. World Class Manufacturing (JIT, TQM, TPM, lean) accepts this: managers must build quality into process and product design, develop suppliers, invest in training and maintenance, and remove fear. The 85% figure is a rule of thumb, not a measured constant, and workers still own the remaining special causes. The statement is broadly valid.
(a)(iii) Six Sigma belts in a software firm
Six Sigma aims at about 3.4 defects per million opportunities through DMAIC. Green Belts, part-time, work on defined projects such as reducing defects in code reviews and testing, and collect data. Black Belts lead projects full-time, apply advanced statistics, and coach Green Belts. Master Black Belts train and mentor the Black Belts, choose projects aligned with strategy, and guide the quality programme at firm level.
(a)(iv)(A) Network diagram
Arrows (nodes): A 1→2 (11); B 2→3 (10); C 2→4 (8); D 2→5 (5); E 3→6 (6); F 4→6 (9); G 5→7 (2); H 6→7 (7); I 7→8 (12); J 7→9 (5). Earliest event times: node 1 = 0; node 2 = 11; node 3 = 21; node 4 = 19; node 5 = 16; node 6 = max(27, 28) = 28; node 7 = max(35, 18) = 35; node 8 = 47; node 9 = 40.
(a)(iv)(B) Critical path
The longest path is 1 → 2 → 4 → 6 → 7 → 8, that is A–C–F–H–I: 11 + 8 + 9 + 7 + 12 = 47. The project takes 47 time units. B and E have a float of 1, D and G 17, and J 7.
(b)(i) Rank correlation
d = efficiency rank − service rank: A −1, B 1, C −2, D 2, E −4, F −2, G 0, H 2, I 5, J −1, K 1, L 1. Σd² = 1 + 1 + 4 + 4 + 16 + 4 + 0 + 4 + 25 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 62.
Ties need a correction of m(m² − 1)/12: for three tied efficiency ranks (5), 2; for the service ranks 7, 7 and 11, 11, 0.5 each. Total correction = 3, so Σd² + correction = 65.
ρ = 1 − 6 × 65 ÷ (12 × 143) = 1 − 0.227 ≈ 0.77 (0.78 without the correction). Efficiency and length of service are positively and fairly strongly associated.
(b)(ii) Central limit theorem and standard error
Tenets of the CLT: for random samples of size n from a population with mean μ and variance σ², the sampling distribution of the sample mean tends to a normal distribution as n grows (usually n ≥ 30), whatever the population shape; its mean is μ and its standard deviation is σ/√n.
Standard error is the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of a statistic, for the mean σ/√n (estimated by s/√n). It shows how much a sample statistic varies from sample to sample and falls as the sample grows.
Utility in testing: the test statistic is Z or t = (x̄ − μ₀)/SE, which turns a sample difference into units of chance variation; it fixes critical regions and p-values, builds confidence intervals, and helps plan sample size for the desired precision.
(c)(i) Importance of ERP
ERP puts finance, production, purchasing, sales, HR and logistics on a single integrated database, giving real-time, consistent information. It removes duplicate entry, cuts inventory and lead times, speeds closing of accounts, improves customer service and compliance, standardises processes across units, and gives better data for decisions and scaling.
(c)(ii) Economic aspects and hidden costs
Visible costs: software licences or subscriptions, hardware or cloud, consultants, and training. Benefits: lower inventory and working capital, shorter cycle times, productivity and better decisions; judged by total cost of ownership, payback and ROI over the life cycle.
Hidden costs: customisation and integration with legacy systems, data cleaning and migration, extensive testing, staff time and backfill during training, business process re-engineering, key-staff turnover, productivity dip after go-live, ongoing support and upgrades, and consultant overruns.
(c)(iii) Three ERP implementation strategies
Big-bang: all modules and sites go live on one date. It is quick and avoids dual systems but carries high risk and disruption.
Phased: modules or locations are introduced stage by stage. It spreads risk and learning but takes longer and needs temporary interfaces.
Parallel run: old and new systems run together for a period and results are compared. It is the safest but costly and a burden on staff.
The choice depends on size, risk appetite, the number of units and readiness; some firms pilot a unit first.
How this answer will be evaluated
Framework: CPM/PERT, Spearman's Rank, CLT, ERP Implementation
What earns full marks: Precise calculations, clear diagrams, and deep conceptual application.
Evaluation rubric
Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.
- (a)(i) How line balancing reduces the cost of idleness, and the steps in solving it. 5 marks
describe— define → structure or process in order → labelled diagram → significance
Must cover
- Explain equalising station work content to cycle time to cut idle time
- Compute cycle time and minimum stations
- Assign tasks within precedence and cycle time, then compute efficiency
Loses marks
- Listing steps without link to idleness
- Wrong cycle-time formula
Earns more
- Assignment rules such as longest task time or positional weight
- Rebalancing step
- (a)(ii) Discuss Deming's statement that 85% of poor quality is attributable to management, in the context of World Class Manufacturing. 5 marks
discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close
Must cover
- Explain that most defects come from the system, which management controls
- Link to World Class Manufacturing practices (JIT, TQM, TPM)
- Give a balanced view (worker-controllable causes, figure as rule of thumb)
Loses marks
- Blaming workers
- No link to World Class Manufacturing
Earns more
- Role of training, equipment, suppliers and leadership
Extra mark
- Deming's 14 points
- (a)(iii) Roles of Green, Black and Master Black Belts in Six Sigma in a software company. 5 marks
explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close
Must cover
- Green Belt: part-time project work and data collection
- Black Belt: full-time project leadership and coaching
- Master Black Belt: training, mentoring and project selection
Loses marks
- Generic quality talk without belt roles
- Mixing up the belt levels
Earns more
- Software-specific defect examples
- DMAIC and 3.4 DPMO
- (a)(iv)(a) Draw the network diagram for the given activities. 3 marks
map— locate accurately → label → one line on why it matters
Must cover
- Correct nodes and arrows for A–J
- Correct precedence (E and F both into node 6; G and H into node 7)
- Label activity times
Loses marks
- Wrong precedence
- Missing activities
Earns more
- Event times shown
- (a)(iv)(b) Find the critical path. 2 marks
calculate— given → formula → substitution → result with units → interpretation
Must cover
- Critical path A–C–F–H–I (1-2-4-6-7-8)
- Project duration 47
Loses marks
- Wrong path or duration
Earns more
- Floats of non-critical activities
- (b)(i) Compute the rank correlation coefficient. 5 marks
calculate— given → formula → substitution → result with units → interpretation
Must cover
- Compute d and Σd² = 62
- Apply the tie correction (total 3)
- ρ ≈ 0.77 with interpretation
Loses marks
- Ignoring ties without comment
- Arithmetic errors in d²
Earns more
- Correct formula 1 − 6Σd²/(n(n²−1))
- (b)(ii) Tenets of the Central Limit Theorem, the standard error, and its use in hypothesis testing. 10 marks
discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close
Must cover
- State the CLT: sample mean tends to normal with mean μ and SD σ/√n
- Define standard error and show it falls with n
- Explain its use in test statistics, p-values and confidence intervals
Loses marks
- Confusing standard error with standard deviation of the population
- Omitting the utility part
Earns more
- Condition of large n and independence
- Role in sample size planning
- (c)(i) Why ERP is important to a company. 4 marks
justify— claim → 3-4 reasons → evidence → conclusion
Must cover
- Integrated single database across functions
- Real-time information and better decisions
- Reduced duplication, inventory and lead time
Loses marks
- Only defining ERP
Earns more
- Standardisation and compliance
- (c)(ii) Economic aspects of ERP implementation and the hidden costs. 5 marks
explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close
Must cover
- Visible costs and benefits (TCO, ROI)
- Hidden costs (customisation, data migration, training, re-engineering)
- Linking to total cost of ownership over the life cycle
Loses marks
- Listing only licence cost
- No mention of hidden costs
Earns more
- Post go-live productivity dip
- Staff turnover and consultant overruns
- (c)(iii) Discuss three ERP implementation strategies. 6 marks
discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close
Must cover
- Big-bang with merits and demerits
- Phased approach with merits and demerits
- Parallel run (or pilot) with merits and demerits
Loses marks
- Naming strategies without discussion
Earns more
- Criteria for choosing a strategy
What "Discuss" is asking you to do
Lay the issue out from more than one side — how it arose, what is claimed for it, what is held against it, and where it now stands. UPSC attaches discuss to broad topics with several live dimensions, so coverage of the dimensions earns more than the strength of your opinion.
Structure that answers it
Set the issue up → the case as it is made → the case against → the dimension both sides leave out → where the balance now lies
Where marks are lost
Listing facts with no thread between them, or arguing one side throughout and calling it a discussion.
Practice this exact question
Write your answer and it is marked point by point against the model answer above — what you covered, what you missed, what you got wrong.
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