Political Science & IR 2024 Paper II 50 marks Discuss

Paper II — Q7

(a) Discuss the future of SAARC in the light of India's increased focus on other regional groupings like ASEAN and BIMSTEC. (20…

(a)

Discuss the future of SAARC in the light of India's increased focus on other regional groupings like ASEAN and BIMSTEC. 20 marks

(b)

Critically examine India's persistent refusal to sign the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT) despite being recognized as a de facto nuclear power. 15 marks

(c)

"India and USA have become such strong strategic partners that they need not become formal allies." Comment. 15 marks

हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
(a)

आसियान और बिम्सटेक जैसे अन्य क्षेत्रीय समूहों पर भारत के बढ़ते फोकस/संकेन्द्रण के आलोक में सार्क के भविष्य पर चर्चा कीजिए। (20 अंक)

(b)

वास्तविक परमाणु शक्ति के रूप में मान्यता प्राप्त होने के बावजूद परमाणु अप्रसार संधि (एन.पी.टी.) पर हस्ताक्षर करने से भारत के लगातार इनकार का आलोचनात्मक परीक्षण कीजिए। (15 अंक)

(c)

"भारत और यू.एस.ए. इतने सशक्त रणनीतिक साझेदार बन गए हैं कि उन्हें औपचारिक सहयोगी बनने की आवश्यकता नहीं है।" टिप्पणी कीजिए। (15 अंक)

Q7 of the 2024 UPSC Mains Political Science & IR Paper II, as printed
The question as printed in the 2024 Political Science & IR paper

Model answer

Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the expected length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.

(a) The Future of SAARC Amid India's Pivot to BIMSTEC and ASEAN

The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) has suffered structural paralysis, primarily driven by persistent India-Pakistan rivalry and the weaponisation of cross-border terrorism, which stalled summits after the 2016 Islamabad summit was cancelled following the Uri attack; the last summit was held at Kathmandu in 2014, and after the Pahalgam attack of April 2025 India cancelled SAARC visa exemptions for Pakistani nationals. Consequently, New Delhi has strategically shifted focus toward functional alternatives: the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) under its Act East Policy. BIMSTEC offers seamless sub-regional connectivity free of Pakistan’s obstructionism, reinforced by its Charter (signed in 2022, in force from 2024) and the Bangkok Vision 2030 adopted at its 2025 summit, while ASEAN anchors India’s broader Indo-Pacific architecture.

However, SAARC is not entirely obsolete. The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated its residual utility when India convened a virtual SAARC emergency summit and established the SAARC COVID-19 Emergency Fund. While BIMSTEC bridges South and Southeast Asia, it lacks SAARC’s comprehensive civilisational geography and integrated trade mechanisms like SAFTA. Thus, while SAARC remains in a state of diplomatic hibernation, it retains latent relevance should political realignments permit genuine regional integration.

(b) India’s Position on the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)

India’s persistent refusal to sign the NPT stems from a principled critique first articulated in its 1968 multilateral statements, which denounced the treaty's discriminatory architecture. By arbitrarily creating a permanent hierarchy between five Nuclear Weapon States (NWS) recognized prior to 1967 and Non-Nuclear Weapon States (NNWS), the treaty institutionalised what Jaswant Singh later called "nuclear apartheid" (Foreign Affairs, 1998), since Article VI contains only a vague undertaking to pursue disarmament negotiations in good faith.

Following the 1998 Pokhran-II tests, India formulated a responsible nuclear doctrine based on Credible Minimum Deterrence and a No-First-Use (NFU) pledge. India’s de facto nuclear status gained international legitimacy through the 2008 Indo-US Civil Nuclear Agreement (123 Agreement) and an unprecedented clean waiver from the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) in September 2008, followed by membership of the MTCR (2016), the Wassenaar Arrangement (2017) and the Australia Group (2018). However, staying outside the NPT imposes structural costs, including persistent Chinese obstruction to formal NSG membership and lingering frictions within the global non-proliferation regime. Despite these costs, signing the NPT as a non-nuclear state remains an existential non-starter given India's two-front security environment involving China and Pakistan.

(c) India-US Relations: Strategic Partnership Without Formal Alliance

The trajectory of India-US relations has transformed from the Cold War "estranged democracies" of Dennis Kux's phrase into a comprehensive global strategic partnership. This convergence is institutionalised through the foundational defense agreements—LEMOA, COMCASA, and BECA—as well as dynamic minilateral platforms such as the Quad and I2U2, alongside cooperation in critical technologies (iCET, 2023, relaunched as TRUST in 2025) and a ten-year framework for the major defence partnership signed in October 2025.

This relationship thrives precisely because it avoids a treaty-based mutual defense pact. A formal alliance would impose rigid entrapment risks, constraining India’s foundational commitment to strategic autonomy. The framework of "alignment without alliance" allows both nations to balance an assertive China in the Indo-Pacific while accommodating divergent vital interests. These friction points—manifested in US sanctions threats under CAATSA, bilateral trade disputes culminating in the steep US tariffs of 2025 over India's Russian oil purchases (cut to 18 per cent under the February 2026 interim trade deal), and India’s independent strategic ties with Russia and Iran—highlight the boundaries of this partnership, and show why an alliance would bind India to disputes that are not its own.

How this answer will be evaluated

Framework: Concept > Theory and theorist > Application > Critique

What earns full marks: Rigorous theoretical application, balanced critical analysis, specific examples, clear judgment.

Evaluation rubric

Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.

  1. (a) (a) Discuss the future of SAARC in the light of India's increased focus on other regional groupings like ASEAN and BIMSTEC. (20 marks) 20 marks

    discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close

    Must cover

    • SAARC's paralysis: India–Pakistan rivalry, cross-border terrorism, no summit since Kathmandu 2014, 2016 Islamabad summit cancelled after Uri; 2025 Pahalgam aftermath
    • India's pivot: BIMSTEC (Charter in force 2024, Bangkok Vision 2030 at the 2025 summit), Act East and ASEAN, BBIN sub-regionalism
    • Residual value of SAARC: SAFTA, SAARC COVID-19 Emergency Fund (2020), SAARC Development Fund, South Asian University, people-to-people ties
    • Future scenarios: dormancy, revival conditional on India–Pakistan normalisation, or reinvention; China's attempts at alternative South Asian forums

    Loses marks

    • Declaring SAARC dead without assessing alternatives
    • Ignoring BIMSTEC's own limitations

    Earns more

    • Limits of BIMSTEC (slow FTA, weak secretariat) and of ASEAN engagement (RCEP exit)
    • Low intra-regional trade figures in South Asia

    Extra mark

    • Neo-functionalist or 'open regionalism' framing
  2. (b) (b) Critically examine India's persistent refusal to sign the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT) despite being recognized as a de facto nuclear power. (15 marks) 15 marks

    examine— intro → how/why with reasoning → evidence → conclusion

    Must cover

    • Reasons: discriminatory NWS/NNWS divide (1 January 1967 cut-off), weak Article VI disarmament duty, 'nuclear apartheid' critique
    • Security environment: China (1964 test) and Pakistan; Pokhran-II (1998); doctrine of credible minimum deterrence and no-first-use (2003)
    • De facto accommodation: 2008 India–US 123 Agreement, NSG waiver (September 2008), MTCR 2016, Wassenaar 2017, Australia Group 2018
    • Critical assessment: costs (NSG membership blocked, regime friction) versus benefits of autonomy; India cannot join as NWS without amendment

    Loses marks

    • One-sided justification without examining costs
    • Factual errors on the NPT's structure or India's tests

    Earns more

    • India's support for universal, non-discriminatory disarmament (Rajiv Gandhi Action Plan 1988) and FMCT
    • India's non-proliferation record as argument for its stance

    Extra mark

    • Reference to the failed 2026 NPT Review Conference showing regime stress
  3. (c) (c) "India and USA have become such strong strategic partners that they need not become formal allies." Comment. (15 marks) 15 marks

    comment— context → arguments both sides → judgment → close

    Must cover

    • Evolution: from 'estranged democracies' to Comprehensive Global Strategic Partnership; 2008 nuclear deal
    • Institutional depth: LEMOA, COMCASA, BECA, GSOMIA/ISA; Quad, iCET/TRUST, 10-year defence framework (2025)
    • Why no alliance: strategic autonomy, entrapment risk, divergent interests (Russia, Iran, trade), non-alignment legacy
    • Frictions and their management: CAATSA, 2025 tariffs and the February 2026 trade deal, visa issues; clear stand on the statement

    Loses marks

    • Treating the Quad as a military alliance
    • No position on the statement

    Earns more

    • Theoretical framing: alignment versus alliance, hedging, 'multi-alignment'
    • Comparison with US treaty allies such as Japan or Australia

    Extra mark

    • Reference to C. Raja Mohan or Ashley Tellis on the partnership's limits
What "Discuss" is asking you to do

Lay the issue out from more than one side — how it arose, what is claimed for it, what is held against it, and where it now stands. UPSC attaches discuss to broad topics with several live dimensions, so coverage of the dimensions earns more than the strength of your opinion.

Structure that answers it

Set the issue up → the case as it is made → the case against → the dimension both sides leave out → where the balance now lies

Where marks are lost

Listing facts with no thread between them, or arguing one side throughout and calling it a discussion.

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