Paper II — Q2
(a) Obtain the control limits for X̄-chart and R-chart and describe the significance of joint study of these charts. 20…
Obtain the control limits for X̄-chart and R-chart and describe the significance of joint study of these charts. 20 marks
Find the reliability and hazard functions of Weibull distribution with scale parameter θ and shape parameter β, and interpret the findings. 10 marks
Use simplex method to solve the following LPP : Maximize z = 5x₁ + 2x₂ subject to 6x₁ + x₂ ≥ 6 4x₁ + 3x₂ ≥ 12 x₁ + 2x₂ ≥ 4 x₁ ≥ 0, x₂ ≥ 0 20 marks
हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
X̄-चार्ट तथा R-चार्ट के लिए नियंत्रण सीमाएँ प्राप्त कीजिए और इन चार्टों के साम्मिलित अध्ययन के महत्व का वर्णन कीजिए। 20 अंक
वेबुल बंटन, जिसका मापक्रम प्राचल θ और आकृति प्राचल β है, के लिए विश्वसनीयता एवं संकटप्रस्त (हेजर्ड) फलनों को प्राप्त कीजिए, तथा निष्कर्षों की व्याख्या कीजिए। 10 अंक
एकदा विधि का उपयोग करके निम्नलिखित रैखिक प्रोग्रामन समस्या (एल पी पी) को हल कीजिए : अधिकतमीकरण कीजिए z = 5x₁ + 2x₂ निम्न प्रतिबंधों के अंतर्गत 6x₁ + x₂ ≥ 6 4x₁ + 3x₂ ≥ 12 x₁ + 2x₂ ≥ 4 x₁ ≥ 0, x₂ ≥ 0 20 अंक
Model answer
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(a) Control Limits for X̄- and R-Charts; Significance of Joint Study
Let samples of size n have mean X̄ and range R. For an in-control normal process with mean μ and standard deviation σ, the sample mean satisfies X̄ ~ N(μ, σ²/n), so its 3-sigma limits are μ ± 3σ/√n. Since μ and σ are unknown, estimate μ by X̄̄ and σ by R̄/d₂, because E(R)=d₂σ.
Hence for the X̄-chart:
- CL = X̄̄
- UCL = X̄̄ + A₂R̄
- LCL = X̄̄ − A₂R̄
where A₂ = 3/(d₂√n).
For the R-chart, E(R)=d₂σ and SD(R)=d₃σ, so the 3-sigma limits are (d₂ ± 3d₃)σ. Replacing σ by R̄/d₂ gives:
- CL = R̄
- UCL = D₄R̄
- LCL = D₃R̄
where D₄ = 1 + 3d₃/d₂ and D₃ = max(0, 1 − 3d₃/d₂). In standard tables D₃=0 for n≤6; if D₃<0, take LCL=0. Conditions: independent observations, fixed subgroup size, and approximate normality.
Significance of joint study: The X̄-chart detects shifts in the process mean, while the R-chart detects changes in process variability. They must be used together because the X̄-chart limits depend on R̄. If the R-chart is out of control, R̄ is not a reliable estimate of σ, so X̄-chart signals may be misleading. Usually the R-chart is examined first. If R is in control and X̄ is out, the location has shifted. If R is out, variability has changed and may explain apparent mean shifts. Joint patterns help diagnose assignable causes such as sudden shifts, increasing spread, or gradual drift.
(b) Reliability and Hazard Functions of the Weibull Distribution
For a Weibull distribution with scale θ and shape β, the density is
f(t) = (β/θ)(t/θ)^(β−1) exp[−(t/θ)^β], t≥0, θ>0, β>0.
The distribution function is
F(t) = 1 − exp[−(t/θ)^β].
Hence the reliability function is
R(t) = P(T>t) = 1 − F(t) = exp[−(t/θ)^β].
The hazard function is
h(t) = f(t)/R(t) = (β/θ)(t/θ)^(β−1) = β t^(β−1)/θ^β, t≥0,
with unit “per unit time” if t is time.
Interpretation: β<1 gives a decreasing hazard, representing infant mortality. β=1 gives a constant hazard h(t)=1/θ, the exponential memoryless case. β>1 gives an increasing hazard, representing wear-out or aging. The scale θ is the characteristic life because R(θ)=exp(−1).
(c) Simplex Solution: Unbounded LPP
All constraints are of the ≥ type, so subtract surplus variables s₁, s₂, s₃ and add artificial variables a₁, a₂, a₃:
6x₁ + x₂ − s₁ + a₁ = 6; 4x₁ + 3x₂ − s₂ + a₂ = 12; x₁ + 2x₂ − s₃ + a₃ = 4; all variables ≥ 0.
Phase I (minimise w = a₁ + a₂ + a₃):
- Start: basis (a₁, a₂, a₃) = (6, 12, 4), w = 22. The most negative cⱼ − zⱼ is −11 for x₁, so x₁ enters; ratios 6/6 = 1, 12/4 = 3, 4/1 = 4, so a₁ leaves.
- Basis (x₁, a₂, a₃) = (1, 8, 3), w = 11. x₂ enters (cⱼ − zⱼ = −25/6); ratios 6, 24/7 and 18/11, so a₃ leaves.
- Basis (x₁, a₂, x₂) = (8/11, 46/11, 18/11), w = 46/11. s₃ enters (cⱼ − zⱼ = −14/11) and a₂ leaves.
- Basis (x₁, s₃, x₂) = (3/7, 23/7, 24/7), w = 0: all artificials have left, so a basic feasible solution has been found.
Phase II (maximise z = 5x₁ + 2x₂, artificial columns dropped):
- Basis (x₁, s₃, x₂) = (3/7, 23/7, 24/7), z = 9. Both s₁ and s₂ have cⱼ − zⱼ = 1/2 > 0; taking s₁ to enter, s₃ leaves.
- Basis (x₁, s₁, x₂) = (12/5, 46/5, 4/5), z = 68/5. s₂ enters (cⱼ − zⱼ = 8/5) and x₂ leaves.
- Basis (x₁, s₁, s₂) = (4, 18, 4), z = 20. In terms of the non-basic variables, x₁ = 4 − 2x₂ + s₃, s₁ = 18 − 11x₂ + 6s₃, s₂ = 4 − 5x₂ + 4s₃ and z = 20 − 8x₂ + 5s₃.
Now s₃ has cⱼ − zⱼ = +5 > 0, so it should enter, but every entry of the s₃ column is non-positive: increasing s₃ only increases x₁, s₁ and s₂. The ratio test finds no leaving variable, so z = 20 + 5s₃ → ∞.
Conclusion: the LPP has an unbounded solution; z has no finite maximum. This agrees with the geometry: the feasible region is open towards large x₁, and z = 5x₁ + 2x₂ grows without limit along it.
How this answer will be evaluated
Framework: Statistics, Paper 2
What earns full marks: Rigorous derivation, correct notation, and clear interpretation of statistical concepts.
Evaluation rubric
Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.
- (a) (a) Control limits for the X̄-chart and R-chart and the significance of their joint study (20 marks) 20 marks
describe— define → structure or process in order → labelled diagram → significance
Must cover
- 3σ logic: X̄ ~ N(μ, σ²/n) with σ estimated by R̄/d₂
- X̄-chart: CL=X̿, UCL/LCL=X̿ ± A₂R̄ with A₂=3/(d₂√n)
- R-chart: CL=R̄, UCL=D₄R̄, LCL=D₃R̄ with D₄=1+3d₃/d₂, D₃=max(0,1−3d₃/d₂)
- Joint study: X̄ tracks location, R tracks dispersion; R-chart checked first because X̄ limits depend on R̄
Loses marks
- Using σ/√n with σ taken as R̄
- Studying the charts in isolation
Earns more
- Separate formulas when standards μ, σ are given (μ ± 3σ/√n, D₁σ, D₂σ)
- Diagnoses patterns (shift, trend, increased spread)
Extra mark
- Mentions rational subgrouping and run rules
- (b) (b) Reliability and hazard functions of the Weibull distribution; interpretation (10 marks) 10 marks
calculate— given → formula → substitution → result with units → interpretation
Must cover
- Density f(t)=(β/θ)(t/θ)^(β−1)exp[−(t/θ)^β]
- R(t)=exp[−(t/θ)^β]
- h(t)=f(t)/R(t)=βt^(β−1)/θ^β
- Interpretation: β<1 decreasing (infant mortality), β=1 constant (exponential), β>1 increasing (wear-out)
Loses marks
- Wrong sign or power in R(t)
- No interpretation of β
Earns more
- θ is the characteristic life (R(θ)=e⁻¹≈0.368)
- Links to the bathtub curve
Extra mark
- Gives the mean life θΓ(1+1/β)
- (c) (c) Solve by simplex: max z=5x₁+2x₂ s.t. 6x₁+x₂≥6, 4x₁+3x₂≥12, x₁+2x₂≥4 (20 marks) 20 marks
calculate— given → formula → substitution → result with units → interpretation
Must cover
- Standard form with surplus and artificial variables (Big-M or two-phase)
- Phase I or Big-M iterations reaching a feasible basis
- Phase II iterations to the basis (x₁, s₁, s₂)=(4, 18, 4) with z=20
- s₃ has positive cⱼ−zⱼ but no positive column entry, so the solution is unbounded
Loses marks
- Reporting a finite optimum
- Using slack instead of surplus variables for ≥ constraints
Earns more
- Correct pivots and ratio tests shown
- Cross-check by geometry (feasible region open in x₁)
Extra mark
- Explains that unboundedness appears when the entering column has no positive entries
What "Solve" is asking you to do
Choose the method, then carry it through to a final answer. Identifying what kind of problem this is and why that method applies is the first thing marked; a correct figure arrived at invisibly earns almost nothing.
Structure that answers it
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Where marks are lost
Doing the middle steps mentally and writing only the result. In mathematics papers, a further loss comes from giving a decimal where the exact value in surds or fractions was wanted, or from skipping the justification a part explicitly asks for.
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