Statistics

UPSC Statistics 2024

All 16 questions from the 2024 Civil Services Mains Statistics paper across 2 papers — 800 marks in total. Each question comes with a detailed evaluation rubric, directive word analysis, and model answer points.

16Questions
800Total marks
2Papers
2024Exam year

Paper I

8 questions · 400 marks
Q1
50M Compulsory solve Probability theory and statistical inference

(a) Two events A and B are such that P(A) = 1/3, P(B) = 1/4 and P(A|B) + P(B|A) = 2/3. Evaluate the following: (i) P(A^c ∪ B^c) (5 marks) (ii) P(A|B^c) + P(B|A^c) (5 marks) (b) Su…

Q2
50M calculate Joint distributions and limiting distributions

(a) Let the joint probability density function of two random variables X and Y be f(x, y) = x/3, for 0 < 2x < 3y < 6; 0, otherwise. Compute the following: (i) E(Y|X = x) (10 marks…

Q3
50M solve Statistical inference and estimation theory

(a) Let moment generating function of random variable X exist in the neighbourhood of zero and if E(Xⁿ) = 1/5 + (-1)ⁿ 2/5 + (2ⁿ⁺¹)/5; n = 1, 2, 3, … then find the values of the fo…

Q4
50M solve Hypothesis testing and non-parametric methods

(a) Find the most powerful test of size α(= 0·05) for testing H₀: μ = 0 vs. H₁: μ = 1, given a random sample of size 25 from N(μ, 16) population. (20 marks) (b) A lot consists of…

Q5
50M Compulsory derive Linear regression, multivariate normal distribution, sampling design

(a) How will you justify the usage of the principle of least squares in estimating the parameters of a linear regression model? With usual notations, for the regression model y =…

Q6
50M prove Bivariate normal distribution, principal components, linear regression estimation

(a) (X, Y) has bivariate normal distribution BN(μ₁, μ₂, σ₁², σ₂², ρ). (i) Show that X and Y are independent if and only if ρ = 0. (6 marks) (ii) If (X, Y) follows BN(3, 1, 16, 25,…

Q7
50M prove Stratified sampling and BIBD

(a) A very big population is divided into two strata. The allocation of units of stratified random sample of size n for the two strata under Neyman allocation are n'_1 and n'_2, a…

Q8
50M solve Factorial design and ANOVA

(a) A 2²-factorial design was used to develop the yield of a crop. Two factors A and B were used at two levels: low (–1) and high (+1). The experiment was replicated two times wit…

Paper II

8 questions · 400 marks
Q1
50M Compulsory describe Reliability, CUSUM charts, Sampling inspection, Linear programming, Monte Carlo

(a) Consider a system consisting of three identical units connected in parallel. The unit reliability factor is 0·90. If the unit failures are independent of one another, and if t…

Q2
50M solve Control charts, Weibull distribution, Simplex method

(a) Obtain the control limits for X̄-chart and R-chart and describe the significance of joint study of these charts. 20 marks (b) Find the reliability and hazard functions of Weib…

Q3
50M explain Linear programming, Markov chains, reliability theory

(a) With respect to a given Linear Programming Problem (LPP), explain the following concepts : 15 marks (i) Extreme Point Solutions (ii) Duality Theorem (iii) Complementary Slackn…

Q4
50M solve Queueing theory, inventory management, statistical quality control

(a) A manually handled toll-booth has two tellers, who are each capable of handling an average of 60 vehicles per hour, with the actual service times exponentially distributed. Ve…

Q5
50M Compulsory discuss Indian Statistical System, AR(1) model, SLSE, Demography, Intelligence tests

(a) Discuss the Indian Statistical System. State some important organisations and explain the main working of the National Statistical Organisation (NSO). 10 marks (b) Consider AR…

Q6
50M derive OLS and GLS estimators, Index Number Tests, Population projection

(a) For the linear model Y = Xβ + u, obtain the expressions for Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Generalised Least Squares (GLS) estimators of the parameters. Discuss their proper…

Q7
50M explain Identification problem and econometric models

(a) Explain the problem of identification with a suitable example. Also discuss the conditions of identification. Check the identifiability of each equation of the following struc…

Q8
50M solve Item difficulty scaling and fertility measures

(a) Four items are to be constructed so that they are equispaced on the difficulty scale. If the easiest item is passed by 85% of the group and the most difficult by 25%, find the…

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