Political Science & IR 2023 Paper II 50 marks Critically examine

Paper II — Q4

(a) Critically examine the impact of Globalisation on the developing countries of the world. 20 (b) What do you mean by…

(a)

Critically examine the impact of Globalisation on the developing countries of the world. 20 marks

(b)

What do you mean by offensive and defensive realism ? 15 marks

(c)

Discuss the various constraints on American hegemony today. Which of these are likely to become more prominent in the future ? 15 marks

हिंदी में प्रश्न पढ़ें
(a)

विश्व के विकासशील देशों पर वैश्वीकरण के प्रभाव का आलोचनात्मक परीक्षण कीजिए । 20

(b)

आक्रामक और रक्षात्मक यथार्थवाद से आपका क्या तात्पर्य है ? 15 अंक

(c)

वर्तमान के अमेरिकी आधिपत्य पर विभिन्न बाधाओं की चर्चा कीजिए । इनमें से किनकी भविष्य में अधिक प्रमुख होने की संभावना है ? 15 अंक

Q4 of the 2023 UPSC Mains Political Science & IR Paper II, as printed
The question as printed in the 2023 Political Science & IR paper

Model answer

Drafted with AI by UPSC Answer Check against this question's marking rubric, to the expected length. UPSC does not publish answers for Mains — this is one way to score well, not an official key. How we build rubrics and answers.

Impact of Globalisation on Developing Countries

Globalisation has fundamentally restructured the Global South across economic, political, and cultural domains, acting simultaneously as an engine of modernisation and a vector of systemic vulnerability. Economically, trade integration and capital mobility have spurred Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows, infrastructure modernization, and technological diffusion. India’s post-1991 integration exemplifies this, transforming its services sector and lifting millions out of absolute poverty; globally, the World Bank's measure of extreme poverty fell from over a third of humanity in 1990 to under a tenth by 2019, driven largely by China, India and East Asia. However, this has been accompanied by premature deindustrialisation in parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa, widening intra-state inequality, and acute agricultural distress resulting from asymmetric WTO subsidy regimes and commodity price volatility.

Politically, globalisation has constrained state sovereignty through the structural conditionalities of the Washington Consensus—reflecting Dani Rodrik’s political trilemma (The Globalization Paradox, 2011): a country cannot simultaneously have deep economic integration, national sovereignty and democratic politics, and must give up one of the three. Yet, this erosion of top-down authority has concurrently fostered transnational civil society networks, empowering grassroots mobilisations around human rights, labour standards, and environmental justice. Culturally, fears of Western homogenization have been countered by processes of cultural hybridization and the resurgence of local identities. On balance, while globalisation has amplified external vulnerabilities and socio-economic disparities, states with robust institutional capacities have successfully leveraged it to achieve developmental transitions, whereas fragile states have suffered dependency.

Offensive and Defensive Realism

Within structural realism, offensive and defensive realism diverge on how the anarchic international system shapes state incentives for power accumulation. Defensive realism, rooted in Kenneth Waltz's Theory of International Politics (1979) and elaborated by Robert Jervis, Stephen Van Evera, Charles Glaser and Stephen Walt, posits that the international system encourages states to maintain security rather than maximize power. States are security-maximisers seeking an appropriate balance of power. Because expansion invites counter-balancing coalitions, and because the offense-defense balance generally favours defense, systemic structural constraints reward moderation, restraint, and the preservation of the status quo.

Conversely, John Mearsheimer’s offensive realism (The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, 2001) contends that because states operate under anarchy with pervasive uncertainty regarding others’ intentions and possess offensive military capability, security is scarce. Consequently, states are power-maximisers driven by hegemonic ambition. The ultimate guarantee of survival is regional hegemony while preventing peer competitors from dominating other regions. Empirically, while defensive realism effectively explains the balancing behaviour and structural stability among nuclear powers, offensive realism captures great power revisionism, such as China’s assertive power projection in the Indo-Pacific.

Constraints on American Hegemony and Future Trajectory

American hegemony currently confronts four major constraints. Structurally, the transition toward multipolarity, driven by China’s economic-military rise and Russian revanchism, challenges US pre-eminence. Institutionally, legitimacy deficits arising from unilateral military interventions have eroded the normative authority of the US-led order, prompting the rise of alternative frameworks like BRICS and the SCO. Internally, profound domestic political polarization and protectionist impulses undermine predictable foreign policy, as the sweeping tariffs of 2025 on allies and rivals alike, and the withdrawal from the WHO and the Paris Agreement, showed. Geopolitically, alliance burden-sharing frictions have strained traditional partnerships across NATO and East Asia.

In the future, the relative decline of US economic dominance will become most prominent. Accelerating trends toward alternative reserve currencies, bilateral settlement mechanisms, and fragmented global supply chains will weaken Washington’s geo-economic leverage, though slowly: the dollar still accounts for well over half of global foreign-exchange reserves, and the likelier near-term constraint is self-inflicted, as unpredictability leads allies to hedge. Nevertheless, the US will maintain persistent advantages in military power projection, alliance networks, and foundational technologies like artificial intelligence. In this emerging landscape, India occupies a crucial role as a pivotal swing state. Through strategic autonomy and multi-alignment, India resists unipolar hegemony while partnering with Washington to balance Eurasian power dynamics, ensuring a multipolar Asian equilibrium.

Ultimately, globalisation's uneven dividends and the resurgence of geopolitical friction reaffirm structural realism's core tenets. As the liberal international order fragments, international stability will depend on accommodating rising powers through institutional balance rather than unipolar dominance.

How this answer will be evaluated

Framework: Concept > Theory and theorist > Application > Critique

What earns full marks: Comprehensive, theoretically grounded, with specific examples and clear critical analysis.

Evaluation rubric

Each sub-part is marked on its own, against the marks and word limit printed on the paper.

  1. (a) Critical assessment of globalisation's impact on developing nations. 20 marks

    examine— intro → how/why with reasoning → evidence → conclusion

    Must cover

    • Economic: trade liberalisation, FDI, global value chains, growth and poverty reduction in East Asia, India and China; versus deindustrialisation, commodity dependence, balance-of-payments and debt crises (1997 Asian crisis)
    • Structural adjustment and the Washington Consensus (IMF, World Bank, WTO rules) narrowing policy space; TRIPS and Northern agricultural subsidies
    • Social-cultural: inequality within and between countries, winners and losers (informal workers, farmers), cultural homogenisation vs hybridisation (glocalisation), migration and remittances
    • Sovereignty and governance: shrinking policy autonomy, footloose capital, environmental race to the bottom; balanced view - outcomes depend on state capacity and sequencing (developmental state)

    Loses marks

    • One-sided view (only positive or only negative)
    • Generic statements without specific mechanisms
    • Ignoring the 'critical' aspect of the command

    Earns more

    • Case studies: China, India's 1991 reforms, Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America's 1980s debt crisis
    • Winners and losers: Milanovic's 'elephant curve'
    • Structural adjustment programmes and WTO agreements (TRIPS, Agreement on Agriculture)
    • Global value chains and offshoring (IT/BPO in India)

    Extra mark

    • Stiglitz, Globalization and Its Discontents (2002); Bhagwati, In Defense of Globalization
    • Data: poverty reduction in China and India; UNDP HDI; Gini index
  2. (b) Definitions and distinctions between offensive and defensive realism. 15 marks

    explain— definition/context → points in order → small example → short close

    Must cover

    • Structural realism: anarchy and distribution of capabilities; states seek security (Waltz, Theory of International Politics 1979) - defensive realism
    • Offensive realism (Mearsheimer, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics 2001): states maximise relative power and seek regional hegemony; 'the best defence is offence'
    • Key difference: how much power is enough - defensive: status quo and balance, enough power for security; offensive: revisionist, hegemony as the safest position
    • Implications: expansion vs restraint; balancing vs buck-passing and offshore balancing; examples - US hegemony in the Western Hemisphere; debates on China's rise

    Loses marks

    • Confusing the two schools of thought
    • Failing to mention the specific theorists
    • Treating them as identical

    Earns more

    • Security dilemma (Herz; Jervis)
    • Anarchy as the core condition for both
    • Offence-defence balance (Jervis; Van Evera)

    Extra mark

    • Mearsheimer's The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (2001)
    • Waltz's Theory of International Politics (1979)
  3. (c) Constraints on US hegemony and future prominence of these. 15 marks

    discuss— intro → 3-4 dimensions → example → balanced close

    Must cover

    • Constraints: rise of China (economy, military, Belt and Road), Russian revisionism, regional powers (India, Brazil)
    • Domestic: debt, polarisation, 'imperial overstretch' (Kennedy), war fatigue after Iraq and Afghanistan, America First tendencies
    • Erosion of the multilateral order and legitimacy: Iraq 2003, unilateral tariffs, weakened roles of the UN and WTO; de-dollarisation efforts; rise of the Global South and BRICS
    • Future projection: China's challenge and multipolarity are likely to be most prominent; domestic constraints; technology competition; relative rather than absolute decline

    Loses marks

    • Ignoring the 'future' aspect of the question
    • Focusing only on one constraint (e.g., only China)
    • Lack of analytical depth

    Earns more

    • Relative vs absolute decline; Kennedy's The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers (1987); Nye's 'Is the American Century Over?'
    • The unipolar moment (Krauthammer 1990) giving way to multipolarity or US-China bipolarity
    • Policy failures: Iraq 2003, Afghanistan withdrawal 2021
    • Erosion of soft power

    Extra mark

    • Recent events: Russia-Ukraine war, Indo-Pacific competition, 2025 tariff escalations
    • Think-tank/intelligence: US NIC Global Trends 2040
What "Critically examine" is asking you to do

Test the proposition the question puts to you and return a finding on how far it holds. Examine stems carry a claim, or ask whether something has happened, and expect evidence weighed both ways before the extent is stated — often with remedial measures attached. “Critically” is not a section added at the end: name the yardstick you are judging by — the evidence, the stated objective, a constitutional principle, a rival explanation — and let a verdict close each part of the body. Where the question quotes a claim, that verdict must land on the claim itself, accepted, qualified or rejected, and not on the theme in general.

Structure that answers it

Restate the claim as the question frames it → evidence that supports it → evidence that undercuts it → the conditions under which it holds → verdict on how far it stands

Where marks are lost

Merits in one paragraph, demerits in the next, and a conclusion calling for a balanced and holistic approach. That is a survey with the judgement left out and it holds the answer in the middle band. The opposite error is reading “critically” as permission to attack — and with the odd pairings, critically describe or critically explain, the exposition still carries most of the marks, the judgement being a layer on it rather than a substitute for it.

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