Statistics

UPSC Statistics 2022

All 16 questions from the 2022 Civil Services Mains Statistics paper across 2 papers — 800 marks in total. Each question comes with a detailed evaluation rubric, directive word analysis, and model answer points.

16Questions
800Total marks
2Papers
2022Exam year

Paper I

8 questions · 400 marks
Q1
50M Compulsory prove Probability distributions and statistical inference

(a) Let X and Y be independent random variables with exponential distribution having respective means 1/(λ₁) and 1/(λ₂), λ₁ > 0, λ₂ > 0. Find E [max (X, Y)]. (10 marks) (b) Using…

Q2
50M construct Sequential probability ratio test and order statistics

(a) Let a random variable X have exponential distribution with mean 1/θ, θ > 0. To test H₀ : θ = 3 against H₁ : θ = 2, construct sequential probability ratio test. Show that proba…

Q3
50M solve Probability theory and statistical inference

(a) (i) How large a sample must be taken in order that the probability will be at least 0·90 that the sample mean will be within 0·4 – neighbourhood of the population mean, provid…

Q4
50M discuss Statistical estimation and hypothesis testing

(a) Consider Poisson distribution P_θ(X = j) = (e⁻θ θ^j)/(j!) = pⱼ, j = 0, 1, 2, .... Let fⱼ be the frequency for X = j and E(fⱼ) = mⱼ = npⱼ. Discuss how you obtain minimum chi-sq…

Q5
50M Compulsory solve Linear models, multivariate normal, experimental design, sampling

(a) Define general linear model with usual assumptions. If y₁ = β₁ + u₁, y₂ = –β₁ + β₂ + u₂, y₃ = –β₂ + u₃, where u₁, u₂, u₃ are mutually independent random variables with mean ze…

Q6
50M derive ANOVA, sampling techniques, multivariate analysis

(a) In a set of two-way classified data according to k levels of factor A and r levels of factor B, there is one observation in each cell. Show that the total number of error cont…

Q7
50M analyse Design of experiments and multivariate analysis

(a) Consider the following data given for a BIBD with v = b = 4, r = k = 3, λ = 2 and N = 12 : Analyse the design. [Given that : F₃,₅ (0·05) = 5·41] 15 (b) (i) The data matrix of…

Q8
50M derive Regression, sampling and experimental design

(a) (i) What are orthogonal polynomials ? How do you fit an orthogonal polynomial of degree 'p' ? (ii) For the model Y_(n×1) = X_(n×k) β_(k×1) + u_(n×1), E(uu') = σ² I_n, where X_…

Paper II

8 questions · 400 marks
Q1
50M Compulsory distinguish Statistical Quality Control and Operations Research

(a) Distinguish between process control and product control. Explain the various sources of variation encountered in a process control study. Suggest how they can be eliminated fr…

Q2
50M solve Statistical Quality Control and Reliability Theory

(a) Samples of size n = 5 units are taken from a process every hour. The x̄ and R̄ values for a particular quality characteristic are determined. After 25 samples have been collec…

Q3
50M solve Manpower planning, queuing theory and inventory management

(a) It is planned to raise a research team to a strength of 50 chemists, which is to be maintained. The wastage of recruits depends on their length of service which is as follows:…

Q4
50M solve Linear programming, crew scheduling and sequential sampling

(a) Use penalty method to solve the following linear programming problem : Maximize Z = x₁ + 2x₂ + 3x₃ - x₄ subject to the constraints x₁ + 2x₂ + 3x₃ = 15 2x₁ + x₂ + 5x₃ = 20 x₁ +…

Q5
50M Compulsory calculate Time series, econometrics, life tables, psychometrics

(a) Apply the method of link relatives to the following data and calculate the seasonal indices : Price of Rice (in ₹ per 10 kg) | Quarter | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | |---------…

Q6
50M explain Time series analysis, econometrics, industrial statistics

(a) Explain Akaike information criterion for order selection in an ARMA (p, q) process. 15 marks (b) Define autocorrelation coefficient. What are its consequences for ordinary lea…

Q7
50M explain Demography and vital statistics

(a) What are the various indices of mortality measure? Explain the purpose and procedure for standardizing them. (20 marks) (b) With usual notations, obtain logistic curve as give…

Q8
50M explain Index numbers and queuing theory

(a) How does the concept of wholesale price index work? Describe the major components of wholesale price index. Explain the methodology of index numbers of area, production and yi…

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