Statistics

UPSC Statistics 2023

All 16 questions from the 2023 Civil Services Mains Statistics paper across 2 papers — 800 marks in total. Each question comes with a detailed evaluation rubric, directive word analysis, and model answer points.

16Questions
800Total marks
2Papers
2023Exam year

Paper I

8 questions · 400 marks
Q1
50M Compulsory solve Probability theory and distributions

(a) Out of 1000 persons born, only 900 reach the age of 15 years, and out of every 1000 who reach the age of 15 years, 950 reach the age of 50 years. Out of every 1000 who reach t…

Q2
50M derive Joint distributions and convergence of random variables

(a) Let X, Y, Z be three mutually independent standard exponential variates and W₁ = X + Y + Z, W₂ = (X + Y)/(X + Y + Z), W₃ = X/(X + Y). Then (i) determine the joint distribution…

Q3
50M prove Probability theory and statistical inference

(a) (i) If X is a random variable with finite variance, show that lim n² P{|X| > n} = 0. n → ∞ (10 marks) (ii) In a certain recruitment test, there are multiple choice questions.…

Q4
50M explain Statistical inference and hypothesis testing

(a) What is the role of properties of completeness and sufficiency in Statistical Inference ? Explain. In U (0, θ), find out Uniformly Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimator (UMVUE)…

Q5
50M Compulsory solve Multivariate normal distribution and linear models

(a) (i) If **X** = (X₁ X₂ X₃)' is distributed as N₃ (μ, Σ), find the distribution of [(X₁ – X₂) (X₂ – X₃)]'. (5 marks) (ii) Suppose that **X** = (X₁ X₂ X₃)' ~ N₃ (**0**, Σ), where…

Q6
50M solve Multivariate analysis and principal components

(a) Let **X** = (X₁ X₂ X₃)' be distributed as N₃ (μ, Σ), where μ = (2 −1 3)' and Σ = 4 & 1 & 0 1 & 2 & 1 0 & 1 & 3 . Find (i) the conditional distribution of (X₁ X₂)' given X₃ = 2…

Q7
50M discuss Sampling methods and stratified random sampling

(a) Discuss the difference between sampling for variables and sampling for attributes with examples. For a qualitative characteristic, find an unbiased estimator of population pro…

Q8
50M differentiate Experimental design and statistical models

(a) Differentiate between randomised block design and balanced incomplete block design. In usual notations, for a balanced incomplete block design, prove that (i) bk = vr (ii) λ(v…

Paper II

8 questions · 400 marks
Q1
50M Compulsory solve Statistical Quality Control, Reliability, Linear Programming, Game Theory, Markov Chains

(a) What do you understand by Statistical Quality Control (SQC)? Discuss briefly its need and utility in Industry. Discuss the causes of variation in quality. (10 marks) (b) Consi…

Q2
50M explain Control Charts for Fraction Defective and Replacement Policy

(a) What do you understand by control chart for fraction defective? Explain its construction. Give the theoretical distribution on which the control limits are based. (15 marks) (…

Q3
50M solve Linear programming, assignment problem, EOQ model

(a) Solve the following Linear Programming problem using Two Phase method : Maximize Z = 3x₁ - x₂ Subject to 2x₁ + x₂ ≥ 2, x₁ + 3x₂ ≤ 2, x₂ ≤ 4, x₁ ≥ 0, x₂ ≥ 0 (b)(i) Solve the ab…

Q4
50M solve Transportation problem, normal distribution, queuing theory

(a) A Company ships truckloads of grain from three silos to four mills. The supply (in truckloads) and the demand (also in truckloads) together with the unit transportation costs…

Q5
50M Compulsory explain Psychometrics, population growth, epidemiological rates

(c) What do you mean by reliability and validity of tests ? What is the difference between reliability and validity of a test ? If the reliability of a test is raised from 0·80 to…

Q6
50M explain Time series analysis, least squares, heteroscedasticity

(a) Explain the principle of least squares. How it is used in fitting trend in time series analysis ? Explain the fitting of trend for the curve y=ab^tc^t². 15 marks (b) Define st…

Q7
50M derive Life table functions and standard scores

7.(a) Derive, by starting from a suitable functional form for lₓ, the formula (i) Lₓ = (lₓ + lₓ₊₁)/2 and (ii) Lₓ = (lₓ - lₓ₊₁)/((log lₓ - log lₓ₊₁)) = -(dₓ)/(log pₓ) (iii) eₓ⁰ = 1…

Q8
50M explain Agricultural statistics, fertility rates, and econometric model identification

8.(a) Explain the method of collection of agriculture data. Describe the (i) official publications for data collection and (ii) statistics collected by the various official agenci…

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